Stats Value – Numbers point to two angles from Monday’s Allsvenskan

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OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here's Monday's value selections.

Dalkurd v Hammarby | Monday 27th August 2018, 18:00

Dalkurd have seen 7/8 (88%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with 4/8 (50%) seeing Over 3.5 Goals.

Hammarby have seen 5/8 (63%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with 2/8 (25%) seeing Over 3.5 Goals.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 12/16 (75%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 1/3. Meanwhile, 6/18 (33%) of games saw Over 3.5 Goals pay-out.

We can Over 2.75 Goals at 4/5 with BetVictor on Monday – this selection would see us make a half-stakes profit should exactly three goals be scored with a full winner paid out should four or more goals be scored.

Kalmar v Orebro | Monday 27th August 2018, 18:00

Kalmar have seen 6/8 (75%) of their home league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets.

Orebro have seen 7/9 (78%) of their away league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Under 2.5 Goals column in 13/17 (76%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 1/3.

We can back Under 2.5 Goals at 7/5 with Marathon.

Best Bets

Dalkurd v Hammarby – Over 2.75 Goals (4/5 BetVictor)

Kalmar v Orebro – Under 2.5 Goals (7/5 Marathon)

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