FOOTBALL journalist Adam Goodwin (@AGJournalism) takes a look at Saturday's early Premier League kick-off between Wolves and Leicester at Molineux.
Wolves v Leicester | Saturday 19th January 2019, 12:30 | Sky Sports
Wolves are starting to garner a reputation for performing at their best against the Premier League’s big boys, and they did so again when they beat Liverpool in the FA Cup. They’ve now won or drawn against every side in the top six in all competitions this season, but their form against the rest of the league is unpredictable.
Over 2.5 Goals has landed in just 3/14 (21%) of their games not involving the top six and they’ve won just 6/14 (43%) of those games. They’ve also had the most games involving Under 2.5 Goals in the league with 15/22 (68%), with that percentage getting even higher when they play at the Molineux (8/11 (73%)).
Nuno Espirito Santo's side also still failed to secure a deal for a centre-forward this window after the loan move for Tammy Abraham fell through, and with the team scoring just 23 goals this season and just two weeks to go until the transfer window slams shut, the need for a new striker is evident.
Claude Puel is under some pressure at Leicester, with Brendan Rodgers and David Wagner reportedly being lined-up as replacements. You’d have to say that if they lose this game on Saturday lunchtime, Puel could possibly facing the axe.
A defeat to Southampton in their last game was poor, and although they’ve beaten Chelsea and Manchester City in recent weeks, 16 goals in 16 games isn’t quite good enough. Their away form is inconsistent (W2-D2- L2) but they have scored in eight of their last 10 games away from the King Power.
Goals don’t tend to flow in the Foxes’ games and Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 9/22 (41%) of their games and 4/11 (36%) of their away games. So I wouldn’t expect a goal fest at the Molineux.
The betting angle
I can see a tight game here and the draw looks a good price at 11/5. But I prefer the 11/2 available with Bet365 of the 1-1 draw.
Both sides have got the ability to score goals but they very rarely come in abundance so, in a tight game, I think that’s a great price.
Wolves v Leicester – 1-1 draw (11/2 Bet365)