ROSS Casey (@RossCasey24) shares his verdict on Saturday evening's Premier league tussle between Swansea and Chelsea.
Swansea v Chelsea | Saturday 28th April 2018, 17:30 | BT Sport
This is a Premier League fixture that will have ramifications at both ends of the table, with Chelsea looking to sneak into the top four still and Swansea hoping to avoid relegation with just four games remaining for both sides.
The Swans are perilously close to the relegation zone now, just four points separate them and 18th placed Southampton. Carlos Carvalhal's side are now winless in their last six matches in all competitions with goals a real problem at present.
The Welsh outfit have scored just two goals in their last six matches, and to be honest that is nothing new this season. With a home goal total of just 16 this season in the Premier League, only Burnley have netted less than them on home soil and with an injury crisis meaning they will be without several key attacking players here, things don't look too appetising for this one.
At the opposite end of the pitch, they are struggling for numbers too with Kyle Bartley and Federico Fernandez out of this fixture. They sat back and waited for destruction last weekend when being torn apart 5-0 away at Man City and it will be interesting if their bare bones will attempt a more expansive game at home here.
Chelsea are priced up as firm favourites with a best price of 6/11 with Unibet. That odds on price is because Chelsea are ending their season well at the moment with three wins on the spin and an FA Cup final place secured.
Seven of their Premier League away wins have come at the expense of bottom half teams this season, with The Blues struggling against the upper echelon of Premier League sides on the road this year. However, Swansea firmly fit the bill as a side that Chelsea can flat track bully and with three wins on the bounce heading into this one, I fully expect an away win here.
Everything here points towards an away victory for Chelsea, but at such a short price let's look at some better odds. I think with Olivier Giroud now first choice and on song, it's important to start him here and after three goals in his last three games and Alvaro Morata incredibly wasteful when he came on last week, he will get the nod from Antonio Conte.
Strangely he is a better price than the Spaniard to score and has scored in two of his last three visits to the Liberty Stadium. With his confidence high, I fancy him to net here anytime with a best price of 9/5 with Betfair – especially as Swansea have conceded 12 in their last five matches!
Swansea v Chelsea – Olivier Giroud anytime (9/5 Betfair)