Stats Value – Exploit two goals angles in Brazil on Saturday

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OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here's Saturday's value selection.

Sport Recife v Cruzeiro | Saturday 8th September 2018, 20:00

Sport Recife have seen 8/11 (73%) of their home league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets, as well as 3/11 (27%) successful Under 1.5 Goals selections, with games averaging 2.18 goals per-game.

Cruzeiro have seen 12/12 (100%) of their away league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets, as well as 6/12 (50%) successful Under 1.5 Goals selections, with games averaging 1.42 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Under 2.5 Goals column in 20/23 (87%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds below 1/5. The duos matches have averaged 1.80 goals per-game with 9/24 (39%) rewarding Under 1.5 Goals backers.

We can back Under 2.25 Asian Goals at 7/10 with BetVictor in Brazil on Saturday night – this means, should exactly two goals be scored we'll enjoy a half-stakes win with one or zero goals returning a full-stakes profit. We'll only not make money if three or more goals are scored.

Londrina v Brasil de Pelotas | Saturday 8th September 2018, 20:30

Londrina have seen 9/13 (69%) of their home league games feature winning Both Teams To Score bets, with games averaging 2.77 goals per-game.

Brasil de Pelotas have seen 8/12 (67%) of their home league games feature winning Both Teams To Score bets, with games averaging 2.08 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Both Teams To Score column in 17/25 (68%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 4/9.

We can back Both Teams To Score at 11/10 with Ladbrokes in Brazil on Saturday night.

Best Bets

Sport Recife v Cruzeiro – Under 2.25 Goals (7/10 BetVictor)

Londrina v Brasil de Pelotas – Both Teams To Score (11/10 Ladbrokes)

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