Stats Value – Derby date to produce plenty of goals

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OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here's Wednesday's value selections.

Yokohama F-Marinos v Shimizu S-Pulse | Wednesday 29th August 2018, 11:30

Yokohama F-Marinos have seen 8/10 (80%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with 4/10 (40%) seeing Over 3.5 Goals.

Shimizu S-Pulse have seen 8/11 (73%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with 5/11 (45%) seeing Over 3.5 Goals.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 16/21 (76%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 1/3. Meanwhile, 9/21 (43%) of games saw Over 3.5 Goals pay-out.

We can back Over 2.75 Goals at 5/6 with Bet365 on Wednesday – this selection would see us make a half-stakes profit should exactly three goals be scored with a full winner paid out should four or more goals be scored.

Flora Tallinn v Levadia Tallinn | Wednesday 29th August 2018, 17:30

Flora Tallinn have seen 9/12 (75%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with games averaging 3.58 goals per-game.

Levadia Tallinn have seen 8/11 (73%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with with games averaging 3.55 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 17/23 (74%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 4/11.

We can back Over 2.5 Goals at evens with BetStars on Wednesday.

Best Bets

Yokohama F-Marinos v Shimizu S-Pulse – Over 2.75 Goals (5/6 Bet365)

Flora Tallinn v Levadia Tallinn – Over 2.5 Goals (1/1 BetStars)

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