Liverpool vs Everton Betting Preview & Tips


LIVERPOOL take on Everton in Saturday's Premier League action. Tom Love (@TomLove_18) shares his betting thoughts.

Liverpool vs Everton | Saturday 20th February 2021, 17:30 | Sky Sports

This Merseyside derby could have some added spice after the aftermath of the reverse meeting where Jordan Pickford injured Virgil Van Dijk which was no doubt a contributing reason to the Reds blowing up their title challenge.

You’d hope it would make the game a feisty one. It’s been sad to see the demise of derby games from a pure hatred point of view, the no fans factor also tends to play its part in more tepid encounters but there’s no doubt that dirty encounters are the best ones to watch from a fan’s perspective.

I’m banking on some added bite here especially with the pressure growing on Liverpool to get a home win and arrest their worrying dip in results at Anfield. They’ve actually being among the cards a lot more of late, carded in 8 of their last 9 in the league as well as being carded twice or more in 7 of those.

Everton also like a card, they rank 5th for cautions this season and have picked up 2 or more cards in 4 of their last 5 on the road, interestingly their last 5 away opponents have also seen a minimum of 2 cards.

You rarely go looking for cards in games involving the Reds but the 12/5 (Bet365 BetBuilder) on both sides collecting over 1 card is too big to ignore on recent form and the derby factor. Chris Kavanagh is an ok referee for cards by premier league standards, averaging comfortably over 3 per game this campaign.

I’ll also dip into the props market, I was keen on Liverpool on a shot handicap but can’t seem to find anywhere pricing such a market up. Everton nearly always concede more shots than they attempt themselves and Jurgen Klopp will be telling his troops to shoot on sight against the hapless Jordan Pickford.

There’s a couple of Liverpool players who stand out to me here on Pokerstars. Firstly I’ll take midfielder Thiago to attempt a shot outside the box at 17/20. The Spaniard is averaging 1.1 shots per game and all but 1 of his strikes this season has been beyond 18 yards out.

I’ll also have a tickle on left-back Andy Robertson to attempt a shot at 6/5. He’s odds-on everywhere else and had two efforts at Leicester last time out in the league as well as having a pop against Leipzig midweek. We all know how key the full backs are to Liverpool’s style of play and the Scot could be in with a sniff here at a nice price.

Best Bets

Liverpool vs Everton – Both Teams Over 1 Card (12/5 Bet365)

Liverpool vs Everton – Thiago 1+ shot outside the box (17/20 Poker Stars)

Liverpool vs Everton – Andy Robertson 1+ shot (6/5 Poker Stars)

About Author

I was first interested in the betting industry by doing the odd coupon at 18 - when I’d see a team at odds I didn’t expect it sparked my curiosity as to why that was. I’d go and research everything around that club: form, team news, manager quotes, and try give my own price in an aim to out-do the bookies. I personally enjoy punting on the Football League and European competitions. I like to diversify what markets I bet on so sometimes it’s outrights, goals, player cards etc. The Football League angle comes from being an avid Bradford City fan which has its ups (reaching a League Cup final and beating Chelsea in the FA Cup) and its downs (The entirety of 2018). Hobbies of mine include playing football, cross country running, travelling and playing Football Manager.

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