Liverpool vs Ajax Betting Preview & Tips


LIVERPOOL host Ajax on Tuesday night in the Champions League. Brett Curtis (@Brett_Curtis92) is on-hand to deliver his favourite fancies.

Liverpool vs Ajax | Tuesday 1st December 2020, 20:00 | BT Sport

After last week's disappointing 2-0 loss at home to Atalanta, Liverpool require a draw to be assured of qualification to the knockout stages for the fourth successive season under Jurgen Klopp.

For Ajax, everything will come down to their final game against Atalanta regardless of what happens this midweek, arguably making the trip to Anfield a bit of a free hit for Erik ten Hag's side (though should they beat Liverpool then they are likely to only require a low-scoring draw against Atalanta to progress rather than a win). 

With that in mind, Ajax can play with some freedom against what will be a weakened Liverpool side due to injuries regardless of how heavily Klopp rotates.

Former Southampton forward Dusan Tadic has registered a shot on-target in each of his four Champions League matches this season, making odds of 6/5 (Betfair) for him to do so again look extremely generous.

The Serbian international is Ajax's penalty taker, too, with German official Tobias Stieler averaging 0.30 penalties per-game throughout his Bundesliga career, showing two in his six career CL matches. Were Ajax to be awarded one, this would almost certainly make my main selection a very easy land.

I had joy last week with a 14/1 Request-A-Bet double on this site for the Manchester United match, so was keen to try and create a similar bet here. Two forward players catch my eye in SkyBet's tackles market: David Neres and Sadio Mane. 

The two dynamic wingers are both attempting over 2.5 dribbles per-match in this season's competition, and are likely to be on the same side of the pitch, so may be tasked with tracking (and tackling!) each other at times to help out their respective full-backs Noussair Mazraoui and Andrew Robertson, who both like to get forward themselves.

Neres has landed a tackle in each of his last four Eredivisie appearances – despite two of those coming as a substitute – as well as making an eye-catching five against Midtjylland last time out in this competition. Mane, meanwhile, has made two or more in four of his eight Premier League starts this season, as well as against Atalanta last week despite playing in second gear for much of that match. 

Neres is 5/4 to make 2+, with Mane very good value at 15/8 to do so the same, and I think both may be worth backing as singles providing they start. 

However, to get another Request-A-Bet which should be around 14/1 once on site, I'm going to combine the two with Mane's direct opponent Mazraoui to make 4+ tackles. The right-back landed this against Midtjylland last week, making five against Liverpool in the reverse fixture, and is likely to get stuck in against the electric Mané. 

Best Bets

Liverpool vs Ajax – Dusan Tadic to have a shot on-target (6/5 Betfair)

Liverpool vs Ajax – David Neres to make 2+ tackles (5/4 SkyBet)

Liverpool vs Ajax – Sadio Mane to make 2+ tackles (15/8 SkyBet)

Liverpool vs Ajax – Sadio Mane to make 2+ tackles and Noussair Mazraoui both to make 4+ tackles (14/1 SkyBet)

About Author

I've been a football fanatic ever since my five-year-old self saw Michael Owen score *that* goal against Argentina. My dad's a Liverpool fan so I never looked back from there. As an avid watcher, player, and writer of the game, I suppose betting on it was always an inevitability at some point. It started off with a weekly accumulator and the odd punt on national tournaments, but with the rise of player markets and custom bet builders in recent years I feel there's more fun, control and value to be had these days, which is what it's all about, really. I'll always ensure I research the stats and probabilities behind my tips (where possible) so that my experienced eyes aren't playing tricks on me!

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