TOM LOVE (@TomLove_18) has perused the markets ahead of Super Sunday's showdown between Liverpool and Tottenham at Anfield.
Liverpool v Tottenham | Sunday 31st March 2019, 16:30 | Sky Sports
This fixture last term was a season highlight. A stunner by Victor Wanyama kicked off a mad final 10 minutes which saw Liverpool retake the lead through Mo Salah almost instantly after Harry Kane missed a penalty in the 87th minute. However, Kane got a second chance with another penalty in the 94th minute, which he converted, to end the game two apiece.
It’s another huge contest for both teams on Sunday afternoon. Liverpool have to win to regain top spot after Manchester City beat Fulham on Saturday lunchtime. Meanwhile, Spurs are now fighting for their place in the top four after a slightly underwhelming 2019.
Mauricio Pochettino knows his visitors have Manchester United and Arsenal breathing down their necks – should Tottenham fail to win this they’ll drop down to fourth if Arsenal win at home to Newcastle on Monday night. With their new stadium now open, they’ll be desperate to play host to Champions League football next season.
Knowing the reasons behind Spurs’ drop off in form is difficult but it seems like their lack of squad depth could be a contributing factor. However, the international break seemingly has come at a good time for the North London club. Dele Alli is now back and gives a greater goal threat for the visitors.
Goals are usually something we associate with this fixture with an average of 3.17 goals per-game in the last six head-to-heads. Five of those six saw both sides get on the scoresheet and a repeat looks very possible at 3/4 (Bet365).
Reds can claim narrow home success
In the 1X2 market I was surprised to see Spurs bigger than 5/1 – I don’t think there’s too much to choose between the pair but trying to get Spurs onside becomes challenging when you see that Liverpool have not being on the losing side in their last 36 Premier League games at Anfield.
Liverpool have also scored three or more goals in seven of their last eight home fixtures whereas Spurs have lost their last three on the road, conceding twice or more in each. Throw in the fact Spurs haven’t won at Anfield in their last eight attempts, and they’ve only drawn once all season, then the 6/10 quotes on the hosts makes sense.
That’s too short a price to put up so I’ll delve into the Correct Score market and I like the look of a 2-1 home win at 8/1 (Bet365). Liverpool beat Fulham last time out by this scoreline and they tend to win by the odd goal more often than previous seasons.
This was also the scoreline in the reverse fixture at Wembley back in September. With so much at stake for both sides I’m expecting a tight game, but the stats make Liverpool a favourable fancy to get the job done.