PREMIER LEAGUE analyst Daniel McCulloch (@DMcCulloch1984) takes a look at Super Sunday's showdown between Liverpool and Burnley at Anfield.
Liverpool v Burnley | Sunday 10th March 2019, 12:00 | BT Sport
Sometimes you can look at the data until you are blue in the face and come up with a losing option. However, in this instance I am going to shy away from the stats and simply back Both Teams To Score at 27/20 with Ladbrokes.
I am well aware that such a bet has only landed in five of Liverpool's 14 home games this season but I don't think that tells the full story. For example, Liverpool have only conceded 15 goals in the Premier League this term but the Expected Goals (xG) total is almost 22.
Burnley have become the awkward, obstinate side that we recall from last season again and despite the fact that they've lost their last two matches, they've still created a lot of chances. Last week against Crystal Palace they lost the game 4-1 despite winning the shot count 18-10 and comfortably winning the XG.
Additionally, the Clarets have scored in 10 of their last 12 matches, including two at Old Trafford, once at The Emirates and also twice in a home victory against Tottenham.
I expect Liverpool to win the game but feel that Burnley will bloody their nose to a greater extent than the market is anticipating.
Liverpool v Burnley – Both Teams To Score (27/20 Ladbrokes)