Granada v Espanyol Tips | 14th March 2016 | Sky Sports 4


ANOTHER profitable weekend in La Liga for Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire). Can he continue his hot streak with a selection from Monday night’s match-up?

Granada v Espanyol | Monday 19.30 | Sky Sports 4

Granada will be hoping to pick up a third victory in four La Liga games since Jose Gonzalez took charge when Espanyol head to Andalucia on Monday night.

El Grana kept clean sheets in both victories against Sporting Gijon (2-0) and Deportivo La Coruna (1-0) before falling to a 2-0 defeat to Real Betis last time out and know a return to winning ways will lift the club out of the drop zone for the first time since January.

Gonzalez, who’s only previous head coaching role in the Spanish top-flight ended after only an eight-month stint in charge of Albacete, was a surprise choice to replace the sacked Jose Ramon Sandoval at the end of February. But the early signs around Los Carmenes are positive and there’s renewed hope that survival can be achieved.

For the first time since January 2014, Granada have scored in five successive fixtures as hosts and across Gonzalez’s first three matches, the Nazaríes have yet to lose the shots-on-target count, reducing their opponents to just six (15-6 in Granada’s favour in total).

It’s been a welcome and overdue positive streak for the Andalusians who dismissed Sandoval after a wretched return of eight defeats in nine left the club teetering on the brink towards the bottom of La Liga.

Young and talented striker Adalberto Peñaranda is missing here through suspension but David Barral is a capable replacement and there’s an expectation that livewire Isaac Success will shake off a toe problem to feature in the revived hosts XI.

Espanyol head south on the back of their own bounce in form; Constantin Galca’s charges have taken nine points from their past four matches – as many as they’d picked up in their previous 13 outings. However, two of those games came at their Barcelona base and the Parakeets are beginning to pick up a reputation as terrible travellers.

If we look at the visitors’ record on the road since the start of last season, Espanyol have W8-D4-L21. This term alone, the Parakeets have conceded on average 2.30 goals-per-game as guests, including at least twice in each of their last six away where they’re also yet to keep a clean sheet.

Galca’s group have been beaten in nine of their last 10 on their travels, leaked the opening goal in eight of those contests and are without suspended central midfielders Victor Sanchez and Pape Diop as well as talisman striker Felipe Caicedo for this encounter.

Espanyol could and should have been out of sight last Monday night against injury-hit Rayo Vallecano but wayward finishing almost cost the club maximum points and similar wastefulness could prove costly here.

However, I’m willing to wager that the Parakeets can play their part in an enjoyable encounter. The travellers have seen Over 2.5 Goals hunters collect in nine of their last 10 but my weapon of choice shall be Both Teams To Score, which has been chalked up at 10/11 with 10Bet.

The BTTS bet has banked in 8/13 (61%) of Granada’s games on home soil as well as 8/14 (57%) of Espanyol’s away days, giving us implied odds of around 7/10 for a repeat.

Four of the six matches in which the visitors have failed to net came at top-seven teams and their average of 3.57 shots-on-target per-game when on the road is better than the majority of their divisional rivals.

Best Bets

Granada v Espanyol – Both Teams To Score (10/11 10Bet)

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About Author

The big cheese at WLB. After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production before setting WeLoveBetting up soon after the 2014 World Cup. With a huge passion for stats, analytics, the EFL and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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