THE NETHERLANDS travel to Gelsenkirchen on Monday night, looking to avoid defeat against Germany in the Nations League to confirm their place in the semi-finals. Ross Casey (@RossCasey24) highlights the best betting angle.
Germany v Netherlands | Monday 19th November 2018, 19:45 | Sky Sports
If the Netherlands avoid defeat in this Nations League match they are certain to top the group and reach the semi-finals next June – but can they against a home side looking to restore some pride after relegation?
Germany have only picked up just one point from three matches in Group A1, but will have some added confidence from a 3-0 win over Russia last week. Somewhat surprisingly, considering their recent form, you can still get a best price of 10/11 with bet365 on a Germany win, making them odds-on to defeat the improving Dutch.
The Netherlands have lost just one match of the eight that Ronald Koeman has been in charge and plenty will be backing them at 10/3 with Betfair – especially after they defeated world champions France last time out!
Die Mannschaft have the added incentive of gaining revenge for last month’s 3-0 loss to the Netherlands in this competition here. Pride was in short supply after a terrible World Cup and a sticky fallout regarding the likes of Mesut Ozil, but they need to now move on and a victory over the Dutch will be another step towards redemption.
For all their recent poor form, Germany are actually unbeaten in their last four matches at home – winning three of those.
The last four years has seen nothing but doom and gloom for the Dutch, having failed to qualify for the last two major tournaments.
The retirements and natural ageing of some key players has meant a heavy transition period for Holland, who enjoyed such a terrific 2014 World Cup.
Ronald Koeman is currently in charge and has been doing a fine job. In the eight matches he has been in charge of since his appointment, he has lost just once and that was an away defeat to France in this same competition.
For me, the fact that they have lost just one in eight – and that was by a single goal – points me towards the Double Chance market where the Netherlands are available at evens with Boylesports.
Even money for this improving Netherlands team to get the result that they need looks decent value if you ask me, especially when you consider that Germany will be without Marco Reus and possibly Toni Kroos in this one.
Germany v Netherlands – Netherlands double chance (1/1 Boylesports)