European NAP: A ripper from Serie A on Saturday


EUROPEAN football fanatic Mark O'Haire (@MarkOHaire) is looking to continue his hot European NAP streak with a selection from Saturday's Serie A action.

Napoli v Bologna | Saturday 29th December 2018, 17:00 | Eleven Sports

Napoli v Bologna | Saturday 29th December 2018, 17:00 | Eleven Sports

Again, apologies for the note form of this weekend’s European NAP. Time has run away with me but I think I’ve unearthed a ripper from Serie A.

I’m delving into Bet365’s Bet Builder for the clash between high-flying Napoli and struggling Bologna and opting to take a home win, plus Bologna to score Under 2 Goals and Bologna to receive Over 1 Card for a 4/5 shot.

  • Napoli have W7-D2-L0 at home this season by an aggregate 20-4, recording six clean sheets and only once conceding more than a solitary strike (back in September).
  • Excluding the top-five, Napoli have W12-D2-L0 in Serie A this season.
  • Since 2015/16, Napoli have won 50/66 (76%) home league games and W32-D4-L0 against the bottom-half at home.
  • Napoli are giving up just 0.47 xG from open play per-game this season and conceding only 5.61 shots in the box on average.
  • Napoli’s visitors have been carded at least twice in all nine of their home games.
  • Bologna have lost 9/18 (50%) games this season, failing to score in 10 and notching more than once in only five fixtures.
  • Bologna have lost all four games against the top-five by an aggregate 11-1 and lost 17 of their past 29 away games in Serie A.
  • Bologna have conceded at least twice in six of their nine away games, and operating off just a 35% xG open play ratio, recording just 0.48 xG from open play.
  • Bologna have been carded at least twice in 15 of their 18 encounters, including eight of their nine road trips. They average 2.82 cards per-game.

Best Bets

Napoli v Bologna – Napoli to win, Bologna to score Under 2 Goals, Bologna to receive Over 1 Card (4/5 Bet365)

About Author

The big cheese at WLB. After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production before setting WeLoveBetting up soon after the 2014 World Cup. With a huge passion for stats, analytics, the EFL and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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