European Football Tip | 17th May 2015


ANOTHER European NAP winner for Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) last weekend. Now he’s back in Serie A chasing another Both Teams To Score winner on Sunday.

Atalanta v Genoa | Sunday 14.00

Same bet. Same value. Same league. Same day. Same team. I’m well aware that’s been plenty of repetition and replication with my recent European NAP’s but if ain’t broke, why try and fix it, right?

For weeks I’ve been screaming about goal trends in Serie A being higher than it’s perceived in this country and last weekend we were treated to a bumper 42 goals in an action-packed Matchday 35 – that’s an average of 4.2 goals-per-game!

We correctly called Both Teams To Score in the Palermo v Atalanta fixture and it didn’t disappoint with the Bergamo club coming away with an excellent 3-2 victory to keep their Serie A status almost certainly safe.

Edy Reja’s been in charge of La Dea for 10 games and although the club has picked up a reputation as draw specialists (W2-D7-L1) it’s the goal-heavy games that seem to have followed Atalanta of late that has again piqued my interest.

Returning to their Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia home this Sunday, the Nerazzurri have proven very profitable for punters chasing high-scoring games. Already this season we’ve seen 10/17 (59%) of Atalanta’s home fixtures producing Over 2.5 Goals winners and 12/17 (71%) feature BTTS.

Those 17 outings in front of their home supporters have returned just three clean sheets with the hosts notching in all bar four. In fact, 12 of their most recent 13 in Bergamo have banked in the Both Teams To Score column as well as 13 of their last 15 home and away.

It’s been a similar story for Genoa this season. Gian Piero Gasperini’s troops thrashed Torino 5-1 on Monday night but that result was glossed by three late goals in the Rossoblu’s favour. The three points kept Genoa right in the hunt for a Europa League qualification place and was the 14th occasion in 20 Serie A matches involving the Grifone that Both Teams To Score had proven a successful selection.

It’s been a similar story on their travels. Genoa have recorded 12/17 (71%) BTTS winners on the road as well as 10/17 (59%) ticks in the Over 2.5 Goals column whilst their tally of just three clean sheets away from home should give us an excellent recipe for goals on Sunday.

With the two teams’ combined Both Teams To Score stats suggesting we should be expecting a 71% chance of a repeat, turning that probability into odds would give us a price of just bigger than 2/5. The kind fellas at Betfred are offering 4/6 on BTTS. It’s value and I’m in!

Best Bets

Atalanta v Genoa – Both Teams To Score (4/6 Betfred)

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About Author

The big cheese at WLB. After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production before setting WeLoveBetting up soon after the 2014 World Cup. With a huge passion for stats, analytics, the EFL and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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