England v Kosovo | Tuesday 10th September 2019, 19:45 | ITV
England have made light work of their fixtures so far in European Championship qualification, scoring 14 goals and conceding just one during victories over Czech Republic, Montenegro and Bulgaria. However, I do believe that they face their toughest match to date this evening when they take on surprise challengers Kosovo.
The Dardanians are unbeaten in their last 14 matches and have enjoyed victories over both the Czech Republic and Bulgaria so far in this qualification campaign. Given that that 14 game unbeaten run included two matches with the Faroe Islands as well as Madagascar and Burkina Faso, it's fair to say that they haven’t had the toughest run of fixtures.
However, winning in Sofia against Bulgaria is no easy feat and I feel like the current prices are a bit of an insult to the Bulkan nation.
You can get even-money with Unibet on Kosovo +2.5 and that looks like a very appealing price to me. As well as the aforementioned matches, Croatia only beat this side by a single goal a couple of years ago and they are clearly much improved since then.
England did win comfortably at the weekend, but they were the beneficiaries of two penalty decisions and only actually won the shots on target count 6-4. I still believe that they look far from solid at the back and with an experimental backline possible tonight, I can see the visitors finding the net.
The key to gambling is accepting that bad bets win and good bets lose and I was actually pleased with my prediction of how Saturday’s game would pan out. I expect a similar game tonight but hopefully at least one of these bets will be victorious.