Chelsea vs Manchester United | Sunday 28th February 2021, 16:30 | Sky Sports
We have a blockbuster fixture at Stamford Bridge on Super Sunday as Thomas Tuchel and his Chelsea side welcome fellow top-four contenders Manchester United to London.
The hosts put themselves in a decent position to qualify for the quarter finals of the Champions League after taking a 1-0 lead in the first leg of their tie against Atletico Madrid midweek and will take confidence from that victory going into this one.
There’s no doubt in my mind that starting Olivier Giroud up front makes this side better but whether he can go midweek-weekend we will have to wait and see. It’s no surprise that the big man remains a regular in the France national side as he has a vast amount of different qualities you want from your front man.
Tammy Abraham could deputise and if so, I’d rather fancy the visitors at the prices here. As solid as Chelsea have been, we’ve yet to see a side really take the game to them or display quality on the break. Let’s not forget that United are now unbeaten in their last 19 away league games, a quite remarkable road record, so should they be as big as 12/5 to win on Sunday?
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has previously outwitted Thomas Tuchel when he was PSG boss upon two occasions when his United side were playing away from home. He will likely opt for a 4-3-3 and allow Chelsea to knock the ball about the back and simply try capitalise on counter attack situations, it’s one of their star traits as a team.
Ole’s decision to start catalyst Bruno Fernandes midweek was an odd one given their affair with Real Sociedad was almost already tied up. It wouldn’t surprise me if he starts as a false nine should Edison Cavani be deemed unfit.
All in all I think United are overpriced here, I’d make them more 2/1 than 12/5 so I’m going to take them with a +0.25 start on the Asian Handicap at even-money with Bet365. It means we will make money if the Red Devils avoid defeat with a full stakes win should they come away with 3 points and a half stakes win if it ends all square.
I’m also going to put up Harry Maguire to have a headed shot on target which is an attractive 11/2 with SkyBet under their ‘Shots on Target Specials’ tab.
Maguire is averaging an impressive 1.2 shots per game and has actually managed a shot in 76% of league games this season. He’s also managed to register a shot on target in 8/20 league starts which is incredible for a centre half and shows just how dangerous he is from set pieces.
Given 83% of his attempts are with his head this price just looks way too big to ignore. He’s only 3/1 for a shot on target so to get almost double for it to be with his noggin looks generous. He’s also 5/1 with Betfair and Boylesports for the same bet if the price gets slashed.
I couldn’t put anyone off the big man having two headed shots on target with Sky too at a chunky 75/1, that’s as short as 18/1 elsewhere.