Champions League: Feisty fixture forecast for the San Siro

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THE CHAMPIONS LEAGUE returns on Tuesday night. We asked Tom Love (@TomLove_18) to source the best bets from matches not involving Premier League interest.

Atalanta v Dinamo Zagreb | Tuesday 26th November 2019,20:00 | BT Sport

  • This is a must win game for Atalanta if they’re to have a chance of going through to the knockout stages.
  • Dinamo Zagreb are level on points with Shakhtar Donetsk and will hope to get something here to have a great chance of going second.
  • However, this game plays out, cards have to be fancied. If Atalanta are winning then they’re likely to tactically foul and/or waste time. If Atalanta are losing then their heads could go as it means they’ll be facing early elimination.
  • Atalanta seen 29 yellows and two reds in 13 Serie A games – an average of around 2.5 cards per-game. Atalanta picked up 12 cards in their four Champions League games – an average of 3.00 per-game.
  • Zagreb picked up 10 yellows and one red in their four Champions League games – an average of 2.75 per-game.
  • Both Teams Over 1.5 Cards (11/10 William Hill) landed in the reverse fixture.
  • Russian referee Sergey Karasaev loves a card. Has dished out 4, 6, 6, 6, 4 and 7 cards in his last six games. Delivered Over 1.5 Cards for both teams in each of his last four games and five of his last six.

Juventus v Atletico Madrid | Tuesday 26th November 2019, 20:00 | BT Sport

  • Juventus can secure top spot with a win here.
  • Juventus are yet to lose this season (W14-D3-L0) in all competitions. Twelve of those 17 wins have seen fewer than four goals.
  • Atletico Madrid have been very poor away and failed to win in any of their last five on the road. The Spaniards have failed to score over a single goal in those five games and are overly reliant on Alvaro Morata.
  • Atletico have defensive injuries with Jose Gimenez, Sime Vrsaljko and Stefan Savic all out. That may mean Diego Simeone tries to protect his defence even more.
  • Under 3.5 Goals has landed in 16/19 Atletico games in all competitions.

Juventus to win and Under 3.5 Goals is the call at 9/5 (Coral).

Lokomotiv Moscow v Bayer Leverkusen | Tuesday 26th November 2019, 17:55 | BT Sport

  • This is a must win for both sides – a draw does nothing for either.
  • Both Teams To Score No Draw (13/8 William Hill) has landed in three of Lokomotiv’s four Champions League games already, as well as two of Leverkusen’s four.
  • Both Teams To Score No Draw (13/8 William Hill) landed in the reverse fixture.
  • Both teams are poor defensively and an early goal could really open the game up.

Best Bets

Atalanta v Dinamo Zagreb – Both Teams Over 1.5 Cards (11/10 William Hill)

Juventus v Atletico Madrid – Juventus to win and Under 3.5 Goals (9/5 Coral)

Lokomotiv Moscow v Bayer Leverkusen – Both Teams To Score No Draw (13/8 William Hill)

About Author

I was first interested in the betting industry by doing the odd coupon at 18 - when I’d see a team at odds I didn’t expect it sparked my curiosity as to why that was. I’d go and research everything around that club: form, team news, manager quotes, and try give my own price in an aim to out-do the bookies. I personally enjoy punting on the Football League and European competitions. I like to diversify what markets I bet on so sometimes it’s outrights, goals, player cards etc. The Football League angle comes from being an avid Bradford City fan which has its ups (reaching a League Cup final and beating Chelsea in the FA Cup) and its downs (The entirety of 2018). Hobbies of mine include playing football, cross country running, travelling and playing Football Manager.

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