BURNLEY meet Leicester City on Wednesday night . Brett Curtis (@Brett_Curtis92) is on-hand to deliver his favourite fancies.
Burnley vs Leicester | Wednesday 3rd March 2021, 18:00 | BT Sport
Burnley take on Leicester in the Premier League on Wednesday in a 6pm kick-off at Turf Moor.
The visitors are reeling after crashing out of the Europa League and losing at home to Arsenal in their last two matches.
Perhaps more pertinently, they also look set to be without Harvey Barnes and James Maddison through injury for the foreseeable future, with Jonny Evans and Jamie Vardy both struggling with minor knocks, too.
Burnley were wretched in the 4-0 defeat to Tottenham on Sunday, but they still have a five point cushion above the relegation zone having been unbeaten in four games prior to their trip to north London.
As such, given Leicester's injuries, I'll back Burnley on the double chance market at 4/5 (Sky Bet). Sean Dyche's side have lost only two (against both Manchester clubs) of their last 10 home games and have won three of their last four home games against Leicester.
I just don't really see where Leicester's creativity is coming from without Maddison and Barnes to be honest, while Vardy has looked out of sorts since battling with his hernia.
One man who will pick up more creative slack through the middle of the pitch in the absence of Maddison is Youri Tielemans, who scored against Arsenal on Sunday.
The midfielder has landed at least one shot on target in 13 of his 25 league starts this season – including in the reverse fixture – making evens (Betfair) an attractive price against a Burnley side who concede plenty of shots on their own goal.
Lastly, Burnley games don't tend to involve too many cards, but one man who does look overpriced for one is Jack Cork at 9/1 (bet365).
The 31-year-old has committed nine fouls across his last four starts, picking up a caution against West Brom in Burnley's last home game. Only soft refereeing by Kevin Friend prevented Cork from receiving another for a pretty blatant tactical foul on Gareth Bale against Spurs, too.
Andy Madley isn't great for cards either, but he has shown both teams at least one card each in each of his last six PL games, so may prove a little more reliable than Friend should Cork commit a similarly cynical foul (or rack up a number of less obvious ones).