BRIGHTON entertain Arsenal at The AMEX on Sunday afternoon. We asked Ross Casey (@RossCasey24) to pinpoint the value.
Brighton v Arsenal | Sunday 4th March 2018, 13:30 | Sky Sports
Brighton and Arsenal come into the game on the back of contrasting results but will be desperate for a positive result in equal measures.
Brighton yet to impress against the big boys
Brighton will be fancied by many in this one with a best price of 10/3 with William Hill. The Seagulls come into this one on a six match unbeaten run and Arsenal have lost four of their last five matches.
So at 10/3 that's the value bet, right? Especially with Arsenal wining just three away matches in the Premier League season! I certainly won't be taking The Gunners at an odds on price of 10/11 with 188 bet, considering the current form and their inability to pick up three points on the road.
However, Brighton have lost just three times at home this season and all three have been to top six sides. That tells me at this current time they have a bit of an inferiority complec against the bigger sides.
Add in their away games too and you have a record of played seven and lost seven against the big six.
For that reason I will be staying away from the full-time result market!
Both Nets To Bulge
There's a best price of 14/19 with Sport Pesa on both teams to score and that does appeal to me.
Whilst Brighton have been excellent of late, they have been shipping goals. The Seagulls have conceded in nine of their last 10 matches and despite Arsenal failing to net in either match against Man City that can be overlooked because quite frankly, Man City have been imperious of late.
This match against Brighton is a different kettle of fish and knowing that Chelsea, Man City and Liverpool have netted a combined 11 goals in just three games at the AMEX already this season, I expect Arsenal to score – as well as concede.
Add the fact that both teams have scored the last three times these sides have met in Brighton and we appear to be onto a winner!
I’m confident Arsenal will score as I have stated, and having seen both Liverpool and Chelsea confidently counter attack Brighton at home, I think the pace of Aubameyang will cause Brighton problems in this one and he looks a decent enough price at 13/10 to score anytime with Betfair.
Brighton v Arsenal – Both Teams To Score (14/19 Sport Pesa)
Brighton v Arsenal – Aubameyang Anytime (13/10 Betfair)