Arsenal vs Chelsea Betting Preview & Tips


ARSENAL host Chelsea on Boxing Day in the Premier League. Tom Love (@TomLove_18) shares his betting thoughts.

Arsenal vs Chelsea | Saturday 26th December 2020, 17:30 | Sky Sports

Arsenal are a mess aren’t they? Mikel Arteta came out with a bizarre rant about Expected Goals (xG) and probabilities etc in his press conference before the midweek league cup game with Man City. The irony is, the Gunners have been a bottom half team on the major performance data metrics and they have a serious chance of finishing in and around the likes of Crystal Palace and Newcastle.

The 4-1 demolition job handed to them by Manchester City dented Arteta’s chance of a trophy and they’ve failed to win any of their last 7 league matches which shows just how out of form the Gunners are.

Usually if you see them above 3/1 in this fixture you’d be very tempted to back them but they’ve failed the eye test as well as the data test. They’re a mid table club and Chelsea away against a mid table club at evens would appeal.

The problem is Chelsea have also tailed off slightly of late. They weren’t great against a very poor West Ham side and the 3-0 scoreline flattered them, they’ll have to up intensity levels after looking fatigued of late. Frank Lampard has done a good job but he has to use his strong squad to maximum efficiency over this run.

They are rightful favourites here but a high scoring win looks unlikely given both defences have been decent enough on the stats. We can get 17/10 on an away win with fewer than 4 match goals and that makes appeal.

There’s no doubt Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang is a vital part of the Arsenal team. He could be back for this one and if he does recover in time it will be a major boost for the North Londoners.

Bet365 have him priced up at 5/6 to attempt Over 1.5 Shots which looks very generous for the frontman. PEA has hit 2+ shots in 8/13 games this season including 4 of his last 5. It looks a generous line with it much shorter elsewhere.

Best Bets

Arsenal vs Chelsea – Chelsea to win and Under 3.5 Goals (17/10 Betway)

Arsenal vs Chelsea – Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang Over 1.5 Shots (5/6 Bet365)

About Author

I was first interested in the betting industry by doing the odd coupon at 18 - when I’d see a team at odds I didn’t expect it sparked my curiosity as to why that was. I’d go and research everything around that club: form, team news, manager quotes, and try give my own price in an aim to out-do the bookies. I personally enjoy punting on the Football League and European competitions. I like to diversify what markets I bet on so sometimes it’s outrights, goals, player cards etc. The Football League angle comes from being an avid Bradford City fan which has its ups (reaching a League Cup final and beating Chelsea in the FA Cup) and its downs (The entirety of 2018). Hobbies of mine include playing football, cross country running, travelling and playing Football Manager.

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