FOOTBALL LEAGUE expert Tom Love (@TomLove_18) oversees Sunday night's EFL play-off semi-final first leg between Forest Green and Newport.
Forest Green vs Newport | Sunday 23rd May 2021, 18:30 | Sky Sports
Newport come into this on the back of a 2-0 success in the first leg, despite the awful cliche that 2-0 is the most dangerous scoreline to hold, it puts them in a terrific position.
That being said, they haven’t been brilliant away from home of late and can lose and still go through to the final. They look quite a short price considering that and Forest Green are known for piling the pressure on at home.
I’m happy to favour the hosts on the -0.25 asian handicap here – even if it ends in a draw we’d get get half our stake returned. FGR welcomed back key duo Nicky Cadden and Jamille Matt back to the bench in the first leg and both should start here. Matt is the tom scorer for the Green Devils whereas Cadden has the joint most assists.
There’s a huge looking price on Newport goalkeeper Tom King to be booked too, given they’re 2-0 up we could expect plenty of time wasting from the visitors and King was booked twice last season. 16/1 on offer will drop in play and looks worthy of a few quid.
Best Bets
Forest Green vs Newport – Forest Green -0.25 Asian Handicap (1/1 Bet365)
Forest Green vs Newport – Tom King to be carded (16/1 SkyBet)