Stats Value: Entertainment unlikely in Thursday’s Brazilian battle

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OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here's Thursday's value selections.

Sao Paolo v Gremio | Thursday 15th November 2018, 21:00

Sao Paolo have seen 10/16 (62%) of their home league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 2.19 goals per-game.

Gremio have seen 14/16 (88%) of their away league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 1.31 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have seen an average of just 1.75 goals per-game in their respective home/away matches and paid out in the Under 2.5 Goals column in 24/32 (75%) outings, a percentage success rate that would imply odds around 1/3.

We can back Under 2.25 Goals at 8/11 with BetVictor in Brazil on Thursday – this means, should exactly two goals be scored we'll enjoy a half-stakes win with one or zero goals returning a full-stakes profit. We won't make money if three or more goals are scored.

Best Bets

Sao Paolo v Gremio – Under 2.25 Goals (8/11 BetVictor)

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