BOOKINGS boff Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has spotted some cards-based value in Thursday night’s Europa League.
Napoli v Villarreal | Thursday 20.05 | BT Sport Europe
Villarreal will defend a narrow lead in Italy as they lock horns with Napoli, keen to continue their Europa League campaign into the last-16.
Denis Suarez made the difference in the first leg in Spain as his 82nd-minute free-kick clinched a 1-0 win for the hosts and ended Napoli's 100% record in the competition this term.
When considering a cards bet, these second leg games are usually perfect as its ‘all or nothing'.
These two teams have met a few times recently and the cards totals read – 5-5-5-8-8. They met at this stage of this competition in 2011 and the return leg featured eight cards.
German whisteblower Deniz Aytekin is of Turkish decent and he will surely have his hands full here. He averages 4.70 cards-per-game this season but the Bundesliga is known for low card counts. He officiated Everton's last-16 Europa League match at Dynamo Kiev last year and dished out five cautions in what was a 5-2 drubbing for the Toffees.
Thursday night should be an altogether a closer affair between two quality teams. With Latin temperament on show, I'm backing Over 4.5 Cards with Bet365 at 4/5.
Napoli v Villarreal – Over 4.5 Cards (4/5 Bet365)
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