Stats: Trends suggest a goal glut in the Bundesliga


STATS genius Stats Bet (@statsbet) takes an analytical look at Saturday afternoon’s Bundesliga contest between Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen, pinpointing the value bet according to the trends.

Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen | Saturday 9th September 2017, 14:30

Using last season’s expected points, there is some great value to be found in the Saturday afternoon encounter at the Coface Arena as Mainz meet Bayer Leverkusen, with goals likely to be on the agenda.


Mainz have certainly been entertaining on their home patch with an average of 3.29 goals per-game, including 9/17 (53%) featuring Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score during last season’s action.

When the hosts took on expected top-five teams at the Coface Arena, an average of 3.40 goals per-game was seen, including 3/5 (60%) recording successful Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score wagers.

Digging deeper, when expected bottom-half clubs welcomed expected top-five teams, there was an average of 3.25 goals per-game with 11/20 (55%) also rewarding Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score backers.

Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen’s travelling fans have also been treated to a plethora of goals on the road, with an average of 3.12 per-game, including 10/17 (59%) featuring ticks in the Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score column.

Die Werkself saw an average of 4.50 goals per-game and 3/4 (75%) winners in the Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score box when travelling to expected bottom-half clubs so backing a repeat on Saturday appears great value at the even-money available with Coral.

Best Bets

Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen – Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score (1/1 Coral)

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