BOOKINGS boff Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has bagged three winners from his first four bets from 2016/17. Next he heads to the second-tier in Germany on Monday night.
Stuttgart v St Pauli | Monday 19.15 | BT Sport 1
If you are at a loose end on Monday evening then it might pay to watch the Bundesliga 2 match between Stuttgart and St Pauli on BT Sport.
This is the final match from the opening weekend of fixtures and after suffering relegation last season, the hosts will be looking to make a positive start to the new campaign.
German leagues are notoriously low for cards but I believe there is an interesting angle for us in Swabia.
Twenty-seven year-old Benjamin Brand gets the whistle and he averages 4.80 cards-per-game in his fledgling career. At Bundesliga 2 level, Brand’s average is 4.11 cards-per-game.
In his opening match in 2015/16, which ironically featured St Pauli against Karlsruhe, he gave five cards. In fact, 4/5 of his opening matches last term had either four or five cards in them.
Stuttgart averaged exactly 2.00 cards-per-game in their relegation season and tonight’s visitors averaged 1.94 cards-per-game last term – that suggests that 3.94 cards might be expected here.
All told, it points to the Bookings Points market with the 2/1 available from SkyBet on 35-55 Bookings Points being excellent value and at that price, I’m happy to get involved.
If you’re new to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives two yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 Booking Points.
Stuttgart v St Pauli – 35-55 Bookings Points (2/1 SkyBet)