BOOKINGS boff Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) is back with a view on Tuesday night’s UEFA Super Cup from Norway.
Real Madrid v Sevilla | Tuesday 19.45 | BT Sport 1
For the third year running, Sevilla face Spanish opposition in the UEFA Super Cup, but will hope to emulate their 2006 defeat of Barcelona rather than the 2014 loss to Real Madrid or the 5-4 extra-time reverse against Barca 12 months ago in Tbilisi.
This time Trondheim in Norway is the venue and both teams are making a fifth appearance; only Barcelona (9), AC Milan (7) and Liverpool (5) can better or match that.
Madrid played three UEFA Super Cups at the Stade Louis II in Monaco before their 2014 defeat of Sevilla in Cardiff. Their record is W2-L2.
Cristiano Ronaldo got both goals in 2014; he has scored 22 times against Sevilla, more than any other club (over 15 games, with five hat-tricks). However, he and a few others such as Gareth Bale and Pepe are missing on Tuesday evening.
Serbian whisteblower Milorad Mazic is in charge and he dished out five yellows in his opening domestic game. He averaged 7.00 cards-per-game in last year’s Champions League and 6.00 cards-per-game in the Europa League.
The past five Super Cups have had a mixed bag of cards with total card counts reading as 4-4-8-1-8, an average of 5.00 cards-per-game.
This season I will be collaborating with a card expert from Spain (@SpainCard) and he informs me that Sevilla have been preparing for this match for over a month and that they are desperate to win the trophy.
With such valuable insight direct from Spain, I’m keen to back Sevilla cards. However, 3+ cards is around the 4/7 mark, so little value. Therefore I’m improvising.
The past eight meetings between these two teams have had plenty of goals (4-0, 3-2, 2-3, 2-1, 2-0, 2-1, 7-3 and 4-1).
As mentioned, some of Madrid’s bigger names aren’t playing but they should still be good for at least one goal with the likes of Karim Benzema up front.
Six of the past eight meetings between the pair have seen both teams scoring, so solid stats.
In conclusion, I am recommending Both Teams To Score and 30+ Sevilla Bookings Points at 6/4 with SkyBet.
If you’re new to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives two yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 Bookings Points.
Real Madrid v Sevilla – Request-A-Bet: Both Teams To Score and 30+ Sevilla Bookings Points (6/4 SkyBet)