HAVING delivered seven winners from his last 10 bookings bets, Card King Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has spied a slice of value in Paris on Wednesday night.
PSG v Man City | Wednesday 19.45 | BT Sport Europe
An intriguing Champions league quarter final awaits between French aristocrats Paris Saint Germain and European A-list wannabes Manchester City.
When these two last met competitively back in 2008, City had players such as Benjani and Darius Vassell in their ranks. How times change?
Serbian whisteblower Milorad Mazic is in charge on this occasion and he doesn’t mess about. In four previous Champions League games this term he has brandished 29 cards at an average of 7.25 cards-per-game.
I’ve toiled with this one since his appointment, in terms of which market to back.
As mentioned, he usually needs no encouragement to get his cards out. Over 45 Bookings Points is 6/5 and would mean we need five or more cards to win. I just wonder if he might be more lenient here with it being a first leg game and so perhaps slightly less intense.
In career games officiating PSG he has dished out an average of 2.00 cards-per-game to the capital club. Mazic has given City an average 2.50 cards-per-game, which implies a total of 4.50 cautions.
I think I want exactly four cards on my side and therefore I am recommending Between 4-6 Cards with William Hill at 11/10.
PSG v Man City – Between 4-6 Cards (11/10 William Hill)
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