CARD KING Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) is dropping down into League Two for his latest bookings bet.
Morecambe v Mansfield | Tuesday 19.45
You may have noticed but there’s a drop of rain around. I think that can play into our hands this evening as Mansfield venture north to Morecambe in League Two action.
I can’t evidence this but it is my hunch that fewer cards are issued when the weather conditions are diabolical.
Irrespective of my guesswork, the referee in this game is Nigel Miller. He averages 2.63 cards-per-game across all weather.
Fair play to William Hill for pricing this up and I was tempted by Under 25 Bookings Points at 8/5 However, the two teams average 4.06 cards-per-game.
Mr Miller though, has dished out three cards or less in 8/10 games of late.
So all things considered, Under 35 Bookings Points at 7/10 with William Hill looks good value and gets the nod for Tuesday night.
If you’re new to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives 2 yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 booking points.
Mansfield v Morecambe – Under 35 Bookings Points (7/10 William Hill)
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- Wait for Roberto Firmino to touch the ball in Tuesday night’s Capital One Cup semi-final second leg.
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