WILL DYER’S (@W2Dyer) unique match ratings have made him a mint this season. Here he shares his Boxing Day ratings and best bets.
A Christmas treat for you, WLB folk. Will Dyer (@W2Dyer), an esteemed member of the WLB stable, has been active on Twitter recently, promoting his unique match ratings and best Premier League bets.
We asked Will if didn’t mind sharing the secrets to those match ratings and he’s kindly agreed. He’s also given us a rundown on his Boxing Day ratings and best bets for the next round of the Premier League – what a nice guy.
The numbers after each club’s name relates to Will’s unique match rating and a full explanation and beginners guide to the system can be found right here on WLB. If you need more help or want to know a little more science behind the system, Will’s happy to help on Twitter (@W2Dyer).
Stoke (108/170) v Manchester United (99/170) | Boxing Day 12.45 | Sky Sports 1
Stoke are just high enough in my ratings to be taken for the win here so I expect this to be close.
But with the defensive stats for the Potters when Ryan Shawcross is in the team, and the way they dismantled Manchester City at the Britannia two weeks ago, they are the worthy pick.
They’re the outsiders in the betting against a United side in turmoil under Louis Van Gaal and offering little attacking solace.
Stoke v Manchester Untied – Stoke to win (12/5 BetVictor)
Aston Villa (102/170) v West Ham (114/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
Villa are showing signs that they might at least threaten a great escape but West Ham have undoubtedly performed better than them all season.
Off the back of three consecutive 0-0s the Irons have certainly missed Manuel Lanzini who should return to the team here.
And with four away wins in nine outings and 12 places separating these teams the ratings look to be pointing in the right direction.
Aston Villa v West Ham – West Ham to win (15/8 Betfair)
Bournemouth (117/170) v Crystal Palace (119/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
With the pre-season expectations of both of these sides in mind, you’d have to say they have both performed on a similarly impressive but ultimately even keel.
Palace have conceded half the amount of goals that Bournemouth have and they are terrific on the road but Eddie Howe is getting to grips with this league.
With Bournemouth at home and both sides in good form. the draw does look appropriate to me.
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace – Draw (12/5 BetVictor)
Chelsea (84/170) v Watford (131/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
Only 6% of Super6 users believe that Watford can win at Stamford Bridge – if you were to forget the names of these clubs and just look at their performances this season you would be astounded by that.
Watford demolished Liverpool 3-0 last weekend and are huge value to win here.
Will Chelsea improve under Guus Hiddink? That remains to be seen and until they show real consistency they are worth opposing, especially with teams just one point outside the top four like the Hornets.
Chelsea v Watford – Watford to win (7/1 Bet365)
Liverpool (101/170) v Leicester (131/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
What can I say about the Foxes that hasn’t already been said?
It looks like Jurgen Klopp has a mammoth task on at Liverpool and with Leicester unsurprisingly my highest rated team this season, but still the outsiders to win this match despite scoring three goals in each of their last four away games, the away win is a no-brainer.
Liverpool v Leicester – Leicester to win (3/1 BetVictor)
Manchester City (117/170) v Sunderland (98/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
Sunderland have got some good results in recent weeks but performances haven’t necessarily been as good as those results, so it’s no surprise to see them the fourth worst side in my ratings.
Manchester City are playing reasonably well despite a blip in form and usually justify their favouritism at the Etihad.
Manchester City v Sunderland – Manchester City to win (2/9 William Hill)
Spurs (119/170) v Norwich (114/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
This prediction has attracted the most criticism on Twitter this week but so far this season this is where the ratings have come into their own.
Most people would overlook Norwich getting a result here but they have shown great team ethic all season and overall have been brilliant on the road under Alex Neil since the Scot arrived last season.
Perhaps they can nick a draw.
Spurs v Norwich – Draw (4/1 BetVictor)
Swansea (106/170) v West Brom (97/170) | Boxing Day 15.00
Similar to Stoke, the Swans are just about rated high enough to get the nod over West Brom.
They were uninspiring against West Ham but pretty good at Man City the week before and performances suggest this poor run won’t continue.
On the other hand West Brom are getting results in far from impressive fashion and are expected by many to be the ‘sinker’ in the relegation battle.
Swansea v West Brom – Swansea to win (21/20 William Hill)
Newcastle (92/170) v Everton (114/170) | Boxing Day 17.30 | BT Sport 1
Some good results for Newcastle recently but it’s going to take a fairly long run of them for the Magpies to be rated around the same level as the Toffees.
Everton have played some wonderful stuff this season but failed to get results in plenty of games that they have dominated, that shouldn’t continue here.
Newcastle v Everton – Everton to win (13/10 BetVictor)
Southampton (103/170) v Arsenal (108/170) | Boxing Day 19.45 | BT Sport 1
Another prediction that’s attracting attention is the draw here. Southampton are in poor form but will that carry on with the good players and manager that they have at St. Marys? I doubt it.
Arsenal, despite sitting second in the league, are not rated as highly as some might expect – much of that is down to expectation.
Arsenal are performing to what I expected and no more. They are on course for about 75 points which is the norm for them, so until they start to bulldozer teams, they won’t be getting many shouts to win games like this.
Southampton v Arsenal – Draw (5/2 Bet365)
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