WLB 2015/16 Preview | League Two | Stats To Follow

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WE asked Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) to enter his bulging stats bible to deliver us the best ante-post stats and trends ahead of the new League Two season. Take a look at these beauts…

League Two | Stats To Follow

League Winners

  • Average price in the past 10 years – 14/1.
  • Four of the last five champions finished in the top-eight the previous season.
  • Only twice in the past 10 years have the champions been bigger than 20/1 – 22/1 Gillingham in 2012/13 and 25/1 Carlisle (2005/06).

Favourites

  • Average finishing position in the past 10 years – 6th.
  • Favourites have won automatic promotion in seven of the past 12 years.
  • Favourites have finished in the play-off places in seven of the past 12 years.
  • Notts County in 2009/10 are the only favourites to win the league this millennium.

Relegated Clubs

  • Relegated clubs have won League Two just twice in 10 seasons.
  • Only eight clubs (20%) have won promotion straight back to League One in the past 10 years with just 10 (25%)  finishing in the top-seven and just 20 (50%) finished in the top half.
  • Average finishing position of a relegated club in the past 10 years – 12th.
  • In six of the past 10 seasons a relegated club has bounced straight back to League One although a relegated club has finished in the bottom-six of League Two in seven of the past eight seasons.

Promoted Clubs

  • Average finishing position of a promoted club in the past 10 years – 13th.
  • No promoted side has suffered immediate relegation from League Two this millennium,
  • Promoted sides have won successive promotions five (20%) times this millennium but only two (8%) were champions. Six (24%) clubs have made the top-seven with 11 (44%) finishing in the top-half.
  • Conference champions have finished in the top-seven once in the last 12 years and averaged a 13th-palced finish.
  • Conference play-off winners have finished in the top-seven in four of the past 12 seasons and averaged a 12th-placed finish.

Any Other Business

  • The average price of all four promoted clubs in the past 10 years is 17/1 with 11/40 (27.5%) of sides being priced up at 20/1 or bigger.
  • The average finish of a losing play-off finalist is 10th across the past 10 years – Burton in 2014/15 the only promoted side but five (50%) finished in the top-seven.
  • The average finishing position of a side involved in an unsuccessful play-off campaign across the past 10 years is 10th – two were crowned champions with six finishing in the top-three.
  • The top scoring side has won the league in four of the past 10 years and been promoted on six occasions (average finish 4th).
  • The side with the best defence has been crowned champions in five of the past 10 years, winning promotion on nine occasions (average finish 2nd).
  • The worst defence has been relegated in four of the last 10 seasons, finishing bottom on three occasions (average finish 20th).
  • The lowest scoring side has been relegated in six of the last 10 seasons, finishing bottom on five occasions (average finish 22nd).

2014/15 Stats

Team
Home
Away
O2.5
BTTS
CS
FTS
TG 01.5
Profit/Loss
Accrington10-6-75-5-1328/4630/465/4611/4616/46£53.20
Barnet16-2-512-6-530/4626/4618/462/4628/46N/A
Bristol Rovers17-4-28-12-318/4621/4622/469/4621/46N/A
Cambridge7-5-116-7-1025/4627/4610/4613/4617/46-£90.50
Carlisle9-5-95-3-1525/4622/4612/4614/4617/46-£39.90
Crawley9-6-84-5-1424/4625/4611/4613/4613/46£70.00
Dagenham9-3-118-5-1021/4619/4615/4616/4617/46£!86.20
Exeter8-8-79-5-926/4632/466/4610/4619/46£71.70
Hartlepool8-5-104-4-1519/4619/469/4620/4611/46-£31.70
Leyton Orient5-6-127-7-924/4624/4610/4616/4618/46-£157.30
Luton13-4-66-7-1015/4617/4618/4614/4617/46-£4.60
Mansfield10-5-83-4-1620/4623/4611/4615/466/46-£107.30
Morecambe8-6-99-6-819/4625/4612/4612/4613/46£210.50
Newport9-7-79-4-1016/4618/4614/4617/4616/46£65.70
Northampton13-2-85-5-1322/4626/4613/467/4618/46-£19.30
Notts County5-6-127-8-822/4624/4612/4615/469/46-£114.00
Oxford7-9-78-7-816/4621/4616/4616/4614/46-£17.00
Plymouth13-6-47-5-1114/4615/4621/4615/4616/46£76.60
Portsmouth11-6-63-9-1118/4621/4613/4617/4614/46-£140.60
Stevenage15-3-55-9-921/4623/4615/4612/4619/46£55.10
Wimbledon10-8-54-8-1120/4623/4615/4615/4615/46-£37.00
Wycombe10-7-613-8-221/4627/4615/4610/4620/46£122.80
Yeovil5-7-115-3-1521/4620/467/4621/468/46-£57.00
York5-10-86-9-815/4620/4614/4619/4613/46-£182.00
*Home - W-D-L
*Away - W-D-L
*O2.5 - Over 2.5 Goals
*BTTS - Both Teams To Score
*CS - Clean Sheets
*FTS - Failed To Score
*TG O1.5 - Over 1.5 Team Goals
*Profit/Loss - From £10 level stakes in every 2014/15 game.

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About Author

Profile photo of Mark O'Haire

After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production. With a huge passion for stats, the Football League and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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