WLB 2015/16 Preview | League One | Stats To Follow

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WE asked Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) to enter his bulging stats bible to deliver us the best ante-post stats and trends ahead of the new League One season. Take a look at these beauts…

League One | Stats To Follow

League Winners

  • Average price in the past 10 years – 19/1 (this falls to 9/1 when looking at the past eight years).
  • Average position finished year previously – 11th (plus four relegated clubs and one promoted team).
  • Four of the past six league winners were priced up at single-figure odds.

Favourites

  • Average finishing position in the past 10 years – 4th.
  • Wolves (2013/14) are the only winning favourite in the past 20 seasons.
  • The pre-season favourite has finished in the top-six in 14 of the past 16 seasons with eight winning promotion (six automatically).

Relegated Clubs

  • Relegated clubs have won League One in four of the past seven seasons.
  • Only six clubs (20%) have won promotion straight back to the Championship in the past 10 years though 11 (37%)  finished in the top-six and 16 (53%) finished in the top half.
  • Average finishing position of a relegated club in the past 10 years – 11th.
  • Relegated sides have suffered a second relegation in four of the past eight seasons.

Promoted Clubs

  • Average finishing position of a promoted club in the past 10 years – 13th – that increases to 10th in the past three seasons.
  • Only six (15%) promoted clubs have suffered immediate relegation in the past 10 seasons.
  • All four promoted clubs have survived in the past three seasons.
  • Promoted sides have won successive promotions on three occasions (7.5%), nine (22.5%) have made the top-six with 19 (47.5%) finishing in the top-half across the past 10 years.
  • League Two champions have finished in the top-six in three of the last seven seasons and averaged a 12th-palced finish.
  • League Two runners-up have finished in the top-six in three of the last seven and averaged a 12th-placed finish.
  • League Two third place have finished in the top-10 in four of the past five seasons and averaged a 14th-placed finish over the past 10 years.
  • League Two play-off winners have finished in the top-half in four of the past 10 seasons and averaged an 14th-placed finish.

Any Other Business

  • The average price of all three promoted clubs in the past 10 years is 17/1 with 6/30 (20%) of sides being priced up at 20/1 or bigger.
  • The average finish of a losing play-off finalist is 11th across the past 10 years – three won promotion (zero champions) and three were relegated.
  • The average finishing position of a side involved in an unsuccessful play-off campaign across the past 10 years is 10th.
  • In nine of the last 10 years a team involved in an unsuccessful play-off campaign has finished in the top-six the season after.
  • The top scoring side has won the league in four of the past 10 years and been promoted on seven occasions (average finish 2nd).
  • The side with the best defence has been crowned champions in five of the past 10 years, winning promotion on nine occasions (average finish 2nd.
  • The worst defence has been relegated in six of the last 10 seasons, finishing bottom on two occasions (average finish 21st).
  • The lowest scoring side has been relegated in six of the last 10 seasons, finishing bottom on three occasions (average finish 21st).

2014/15 Stats

Team
Home
Away
O2.5
BTTS
CS
FTS
TG 01.5
Profit/Loss
Barnsley11-5-76-6-1122/4625/4613/4610/4616/46£31.60
Blackpool4-7-120-7-1621/4623/467/4619/467/46-£307.50
Bradford8-6-99-8-619/4625/4613/4610/4615/46£36.00
Burton16-4-312-6-518/4623/4617/468/4619/46£193.20
Bury14-3-612-4-717/4618/4620/4610/4620/46£104.80
Chesterfield12-4-77-8-824/4623/4614/4614/4621/46-£6.60
Colchester7-4-127-6-1026/4626/4611/4612/4620/46£47.80
Coventry6-9-87-7-920/4624/4614/4614/4615/46-£49.00
Crewe8-7-86-3-1421/4623/4610/4616/4610/46£189.20
Doncaster7-6-109-7-725/4622/4614/4615/4616/46-£13.50
Fleetwood8-9-69-3-1117/4619/4614/4616/4615/46£24.90
Gillingham11-6-65-8-1027/4629/469/4611/4622/46£141.70
Millwall5-7-114-7-1221/4621/4615/4618/4612/46-£159.20
Oldham8-8-76-7-1023/4623/4612/4614/4616/46-£102.30
Peterborough10-5-88-4-1121/4623/4612/4615/4615/46-£4.00
Port Vale8-5-107-4-1227/4627/466/4614/4617/46-£6.20
Rochdale11-3-98-3-1229/4624/469/4613/4621/46£51.00
Scunthorpe9-6-85-8-1026/4632/463/4611/4621/46£9.20
Sheffield Utd10-7-69-7-720/4630/4610/466/4619/46-£40.20
Shrewsbury17-4-210-4-916/4615/4623/4612/4621/46£58.20
Southend12-8-312-4-712/4618/4623/4610/4615/46£81.70
Swindon12-5-611-5-730/4624/4614/469/4624/46£72.80
Walsall8-8-76-9-816/4619/4618/4617/4612/46-£66.00
Wigan3-8-126-4-1321/4620/4610/4621/4611/46-£158.60
*Home - W-D-L
*Away - W-D-L
*O2.5 - Over 2.5 Goals
*BTTS - Both Teams To Score
*CS - Clean Sheets
*FTS - Failed To Score
*TG O1.5 - Over 1.5 Team Goals
*Profit/Loss - From £10 level stakes in every 2014/15 game.

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About Author

Profile photo of Mark O'Haire

After starting his career in newspaper journalism, Mark soon found his way into the online betting world, forging a career in content, social media and marketing production. With a huge passion for stats, the Football League and European football, Mark’s other interests include playing rugby, following his beloved QPR and travel.

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