West Ham vs Fulham | Saturday 7th November October 2020, 20:00 | BT Sport Box Office
West Ham host Fulham on Saturday evening as they look to push back into the top half of the table, as one of the sides that have seen performances more positive than results in the early knockings of this campaign.
The London derby is completed by visitors from the west in Fulham who got their first win of the season on Monday evening over fellow strugglers West Brom.
David Moyes’ men are odds on favourites which does not come as a surprise, with the efforts we have seen from Michail Antonio (if fit) and Jarrod Bowen who will stretch an already vulnerable Cottagers backline.
With Fulham sat just four points and three places behind the Hammers it may come as a surprise to see the hosts so short with the bookmakers, however for me they are priced up just about right, still a value punt at around 5/6 (Betfair).
Whereas the Expected Goals (xG) table tells a completely different story, the Hammers are ninth compared to the Cottagers 16th and are in the division top eight for both expected goals for and xG against. Scott Parker’s men reside in the bottom six for each of those metrics.
The betting angles
A Both Teams To Score punt is also an appealing angle, despite an impressive start, West Ham do not have a strong backline on paper and one that was exposed time after time for large periods of last season.
Fulham have created over one expected goal in their last four matches, and would be confident of doing so again. Dynamic players like Ademola Lookman, Bobby Decordova Reid and Frank Zambo Anguissa have contributed heavily to this upward trend, buoyed by the Monday evening victory and the Cottagers should cause problems, particularly with pace in the transition.
This BTTS bet would have come in four of West Ham’s last five matches also and can be found at around 31/40 with Betway.
The Hammers have won the last four of the last five matches between these two, as the Cottagers slumped to a 19th place finish where they only racked up 26 points in their last Premier League spell in 2018/19.
West Ham should have too much for newly promoted Fulham as they look to move up the table.