THE BUNDESLIGA continues on Tuesday and Tom Love (@TomLove_18) is on-hand to preview the match-up between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich.
Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich | Tuesday 16th June 2020, 19:30 | BT Sport
This could well be the game that Bayern Munich secure yet another Bundesliga title, they face a relegation threatened Werder Bremen side who have, on the whole, been a shambles this season.
Having said that, Florian Kohfeldt would’ve been delighted with his Werder team's performance at rock-bottom Paderborn as they returned north with a 5-1 win under their belt. It was a deserved win for the Riversiders which was made all the sweeter with relegation rivals Dusseldorf conceding a last-minute winner to Borussia Dortmund.
It puts Bremen level on points with F95 and with them a single goal away on goal difference, it makes the weekend thrashing all the more important.
That being said, few will expect them to get anything from the relentless winning machine that is Bayern Munich. They overcame a few frights from Borussia Monchengladbach to record a 2-1 win and that was without the formidable duo of Thomas Muller and Robert Lewandowski, both of whom return from suspension for this one.
The Polish striker was replaced by youngster Joshua Zirkzee who managed to get on the scoresheet with a little help from Gladbach keeper Yann Sommer, which is building further trust in him from Hansi Flick.
For anyone interested in head-to-head records Bayern have won the last 18 meetings between these two and it’s difficult to see past another, especially when considering Werder’s shocking home form. At the Weserstadion they have lost nine of their last 10 in the league, failing to score in eight of those. It’s therefore a case of having to get creative to get a decent price on an away win.
I’ll dip into William Hills BuildYourOdds feature and combine Bayern to cover a -1 handicap and Bayern to have Over 1.5 Corners In Each Half which gives us an agreeable odd-against 11/10 shot.
With Muller and Lewandowski back, a fully fit Serge Gnabry too, it’s hard to not see Bayern rack up the goals and with Bremen so pathetic in front of goal at home I can’t see them scoring more than one goal, if any.
Bayern have also been strong on the corner front this season averaging 7.4 per game, whilst Bremen rank sixth for corners conceded in the league. I expect plenty of crosses and shots from the Bavarians which should lead to a few corners.
Werder Bremen v Bayern Munich – Bayern Munich -1 handicap, Bayern Munich Over 1.5 First-Half Corners, Bayern Munich Over 1.5 Second-Half Corners (11/10 William Hill)