PREMIER LEAGUE analyst Daniel McCulloch (@DMcCulloch1984) has run the rule over Super Sunday's clash between Watford and Spurs.
Watford v Spurs | Sunday 2nd September 2018, 16:00 | Sky Sports
Looking at the outright prices, it’s difficult to make a case for Tottenham being value here.
Mauricio Pochettino’s side had a great result at Old Trafford on Monday night, but they were second best in the first half of that game and while they probably deserved to win the game, 3-0 flattered them overall. I thought they looked good going forward against both Newcastle and Fulham in the games preceding that but both opponents created decent openings against them.
Like Tottenham, Watford have started with three victories and while Crystal Palace may have been worthy of a draw last weekend, they were clearly the better side against both Brighton and Burnley.
Their start to the season should give the Hornets plenty of confidence and I believe they will find the net against Spurs this weekend.
Shaky Spurs
Pochettino is in his fifth season as Tottenham manager and in 57 away games to sides outside the Big Six, they have kept just 20 clean sheets. Both sides have found the net in 33 (58%) of those games, which suggests that the 77/100 Marathon are offering is a shade of value.
Since regaining their Premier League status three years ago, Watford have hosted ‘The Big Six’ on 18 occasions and have a record of four wins, three draws and 11 defeats. Six of these losses have seen both teams find the net.
Moreover, Tottenham have won while conceding in 19 of their 57 games away to sides outside the top six since Pochettino took the helm. This therefore suggests that Tottenham to win and Both Teams TO Score should be 2/1. Marathon are offering 58/25 on such bet, which represents great value to me.
If this is to happen, a 2-1 Tottenham victory is the most likely score. Across the last three seasons, Watford have lost by this scoreline in four of their 18 matches at home to the top half dozen. At 8/1 with Bet365, I think the value is once again with us.
In-form Moura
Finally, Lucas Moura looked exceptional against Manchester United last week.
The Brazilian also scored in his previous game against Fulham and I believe his speed will cause Watford plenty of problems.
At 13/5 with Betway, I like his chances in the anytime goalscorer market.
Best Bets
Watford v Spurs – Spurs to win and Both Teams To Score (58/25 Marathon Bet)
Watford v Spurs – Spurs to win 2-1 (8/1 Bet365)
Watford v Spurs – Lucas Moura to score anytime (13/5 Betway)
