The Mercer Mix | 21st April 2015


DANNY Mercer (@OneDannyMercer) returns with four more bets from the Tuesday night action.

Bookings Bet

PSG face an uphill task on Tuesday against Barcelona. I expect they'll get beat here and with them being such bad losers don't be surprised if they lash out a few times.

Yohan Cabaye looks massive at 3/1 to receive a card. He was niggling with Andres Iniesta in the first leg and received a yellow card, so I reckon he'll be chasing after him again on Tuesday. I think Ivan Rakitic will get in his face too and Cabaye will take bites out of Lionel Messi when he comes short.

I'm always expecting Cabaye to pick up a card in these big matches. He has 14 in 51 European matches so the occasion clearly gets to him and he can't help himself. The 3/1 looks a good bet.

Anytime Goalscorer

Aldershot host Wrexham in the Vanarama Conference on Tuesday and I think I've spotted some value. Both sides have nothing to play for, but Wrexham players want to end the season well after a disappointing campaign that saw them lose to North Ferriby in the FA Trophy Final.

Kevin Wilkin was sacked by the Welsh club after that game but they seem to be playing better without a manager at the moment and don't be surprised if they're fighting for Football League promotion next season.

Dragons player Andy Bishop is getting on now at 32 but is a natural at this level. Over the last month he's been starting more games and his fitness is definitely improving. He's scored four goals in his last five league starts and will get chances here with Connor Jennings and Louis Moult alongside him. 11/4 for him to score anytime looks big with his side in good form and his propensity to score against the Shots.

Goal Bet

Notts County sit in the League One relegation zone and need results fast, but Ricardo Moniz has only just come in and faces a big task keeping them in the league. On Tuesday they host promotion chasing Preston who must win with MK Dons breathing down their backs.

I've noticed County have started games badly since Moniz came in and they've been behind in all three matches under his guidance, with the first goal conceded before the 15th minute.

Preston have kicked off their games well but finishing poorly. They've let leads slip in their last three matches and need to start killing teams off or it could cost them automatic promotion. North End look a steal at 21/20 to score up to the 39th minute. This bet would have paid out in seven of their last nine league games.

Vanarama Value

There's a huge game in the Conference North on Tuesday between Stalybridge Celtic and Bradford Park Avenue and I like the home side. Bradford Park Avenue are safe now so have nothing to play while Celtic look massive as they probably need a point to stay in the division and their form has really improved since Liam Watson took over.

Watson has come in and guided them to an unbeaten run of six. This has included smart wins over Top 8 sides Hednesford and Guiseley and they managed to draw with third place Boston. Michael Powell and Chris Simm have been impressive recruits and both have hit the scoresheet in recent weeks.

Bradford Park Avenue have won just once in seven league games and that came against the league's worst side in Hyde. They also haven't scored in three league games and I get the impression their players are eager for a holiday after maintaining their league place.

Best Bets

Barcelona v PSG – Yohan Cabaye to be shown a card (3/1 BetVictor)

Aldershot v Wrexham – Andy Bishop to score anytime (11/4 Bet365)

Notts County v Preston – Preston to score up to the 39th minute (11/10 BetVictor)

Stalybridge Celtic v Bradford Park Avenue – Stalybridge Celtic to win (11/10 BetVictor)

Barcelona 4/1 To Beat PSG

Join Betfair before kick-off and you'll get 4/1 on Barcelona beating PSG.

About Author

I was brought into the betting world from a young age when my parents asked me to pick out a few horses. I’ve been hooked since but only seriously started punting in the past four years. I’ve used my wealth of knowledge from the English game along with my passion for stats and trends to try to find that winning angle. I work hard but enjoy nothing more than studying the form in the hope of getting that extra edge, whether it be from the non-leagues or the Premier League. And if I can help anyone pocket a few quid, it makes the hard work even more worthwhile.

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