Stats – Back Hoffe to take down underperforming Dinosaur on Sunday


STATS expert Stats Bet (@statsbet) takes an analytical look at Sunday's Bundesliga action, pinpointing the value bets according to the numbers.

Hamburg v Hoffenheim | Sunday 26th November 2017, 14:30 | BT Sport

Hamburg welcome Hoffenheim to Volksparkstadion on Sunday and it’s a good time to get the visitors on-board.

The host currently sit 15th in the Bundesliga, one place above the relegation spots with a record of W3-D1-L8. Markus Gisdol’s team have struggled at home, scoring in only 33% of matches and picking up six points from a possible 18.

The Dinosaur have had 71 shots with 30 of them testing the keeper. With a conversion rate of 13%, it’s no wonder the hosts are struggling for goals with an average of 0.66 goals at Volksparkstadion.

After a good start to the season, Hoffenheim have struggled lately with two wins in their last 10 matches across all competitions so a trip to struggling Hamburg should see them get back on track.

Julian Nagelsmann side rank in the top-five for both Shots and Shots On-Target Ratio for away sides. When playing on the road, Hoffe have had 75 shots, 38% of them hitting the target with a conversion rate of 37%, so it’s no surprise to see them averaging 2.20 goals per-game on their travels.

With Hoffenheim superior in all metrics, I am backing the visitors to come away with all three points at 6/4 (Bet365).

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Hamburg v Hoffenheim – Hoffenheim to win (6/4 Bet365)

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