NFL Tips | 27th December 2015


THE NFL post season is beckoning. Louis Ross (@LouisRoss67) takes a look at the best bets from Sunday's action.

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons | Sunday 18:00

A return to two of my favourite subjects. The bookies consistently under rating Carolina and the up and down (that's being kind) Falcons.

At the risk of repeating myself for the fourth time this season, I believe the Panthers are huge value here. I have them 15 point favourites and yet the line almost everywhere is less than a touchdown.

I wrote something similar before games in the last few weeks against Dallas and these same Falcons. Games that saw Carolina run out winners by 30 plus points.

Cam Newton will almost certainly be this years MVP. He is playing lights out football right now. Newton leads a team that has started the season 14-0, one of only four teams to reach that mark in the history of the NFL.

Scoring an average of 32 points per game, this match-up pitches them against a team that has not scored 25 points since Week 5 and a defence that has the fewest sacks in the entire league.

Carolina really wants this perfect season and after putting 30 plus on Atlanta a couple of weeks back, I really expect similar here. Yet again Carolina are by a long way this weeks NAP.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens | Sunday 18:00

Another team I have written kindly about many times is Pittsburgh. I am still of the opinion that they can have a deep playoff run. That is based completely on what I believe to be the most explosive offence in football.

If you are a Ravens fan and hoping for something positive in this next bit, I would look away now. Baltimore are 32 of 32 in my rankings. I should leave that there really. No, this is all about the Steelers.

I love to watch Ben Roethlisberger. He is like a throwback to those grainy images from the 70s. Tough as nails, impossible to bring down and with an arm that puts him firmly in the elite class of quarterbacks.

Big Ben is having some December. 37 points per game, 336 passing yards average on the season. The guy has huge weapons downfield. Antonio Brown has 1586 receiving yards this year and that despite Ben missing three games early on. Otherwise we would be talking all time records.

I'm not a fan of double digit handicaps. Far too many garbage time points ruin bets like that. A bet I really like and which has paid off a number of times this season is scoring in every quarter. 13/8 on Pittsburgh managing that here is where my money goes.

Best Bets

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons – Carolina Panthers -6.5 (11/12 888 Sport)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens – Pittsburgh to score in every quarter (13/8 Bet365)

About Author

I have been interested in betting since a stint managing a bookmakers 20 years ago. I now work in the travel industry but spend 90% of my day thinking (and talking)about sport. Rarely missing an Arsenal home game, I still find time for my 25 year obsession with the NFL and the Chicago Bears in particular. I'm still stuck in the 80's and can't find anything better to listen to than The Jam or The Smiths. I am a stats junkie where the NFL is concerned and there is no sport in the world where they matter more. My mission is to convert you all to a wonderful sport. Oh and win a few quid along the way.

Leave A Reply