NFL nut Kyle Robins (@AhhYeahKyleYeah) shares his expert opinion on the best bets ahead of Sunday's Week 6 action.
Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots | Sunday 18th October 2020, 18:00
After another unscheduled bye, which is becoming a regular thing in this strange NFL season, Cam Newton returns from the COVID-IR list to host the struggling Denver Broncos.
Since 2008, the Broncos have gone 0-5 in games at New England, allowing an average of 38.8 points and 439 yards per-game. Things don’t look so rosy for Denver heading into this one. The one positive they do have is that quarterback Drew Lock looks to be in the frame to return, but even so, this Patriots team should have far too much for the team from Mile High.
In two home games this season, the Patriots have blown out a good Raiders team, whilst comfortably dealing with the Dolphins. Both wins coming by double digits. I fully expect another comfortable victory this weekend for New England.
Now yes, Denver has been in some close games this season, losing by just five to the Steelers and two points to the 4-0 Tennessee Titans, but there’s just something about Foxboro and Bill Belichick that affects opposing teams more so than it should.
With a healthy-looking roster, and a returning Newton, I’m all over taking the Patriots -7.5 at 10/11 with SkyBet.
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday 18th October 2020, 18:00
After Chase Claypool going absolutely ham last weekend, and rather selfishly scoring four touchdowns, my punt for Eric Ebron to get into the endzone was an unsuccessful one.
Now whilst I like his chances again this weekend against the Browns, with Dionte Johnson out, the safer play is attacking his receptions market. Once again it doesn’t appear Vegas has caught up with Ebron’s role in this Steelers offense. He’s seen 10 catches on 13 targets over the last two games, as he continues to get comfortable in new surroundings.
In a game with an implied total of 50.5 Points and against a Cleveland team that ranks 28th against opposing tight ends, I certainly expect Ebron to continue to see his fair share of work. So take the 1/1 with SkyBet for him to go Over 3.5 Receptions.
Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings | Sunday 18th October 2020, 18:00
The final bet of the weekend comes in what looks set to be an absolutely points-fiesta down in Minnesota. According to FantasyFootabll rankings, the Falcons currently have the 31st ranked defence in the league, with the Vikings only slightly ahead, ranked at 28th.
Now Atlanta did clean house after last week’s loss to Carolina, so they could have that, you know, new coach, fresh start mindset. But the truth remains. They’re still severely lacking in the defensive department, and there’s not much a scheme change will do to help that bunch out.
The Vikings, on the other hand, have steadily improved over recent weeks, with two heart-breaking one-point losses to both the Seahawks and Titans, with a victory over the Falcons sandwiched in-between. Now both Tennessee and Seattle are a combined 9-0, so the fact Minnesota was able to push them both so close, is certainly encouraging. Whilst they’re sitting at 1-4, they could certainly be 3-2 right now.
I fully expect them to get back on track this Sunday against a very weak Falcons team, who although capable of scoring, just can’t stop anyone on defence.
Plenty of player props do appeal in a game due to have a lot of points, but I’m aiming a little higher this Sunday. Take Minnesota Vikings -3.5 and Over 57.5 Points at 3/1 with SkyBet.