NFL nut Kyle Robins (@AhhYeahKyleYeah) shares his expert opinion on the best bets ahead of Sunday's Week 4 action.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Benglas | Sunday 4th Octobers 2020, 18:00
We start Week 4 heading to Cincinnati. Joe Burrow and the 0-2-1 Benglas welcome the 1-2 Jacksonville Jaguars to town. The rookie signal-caller from LSU has been quite brilliant through his first three NFL starts, but those performances are yet to translate into any wins, given how poor the Bengals play has been on the defensive side of the ball. Although both their losses have come by five points or fewer.
This week’s match-up with the Jaguars presents a real opportunity for Burrow to get his first win, in what looks set to be a high=scoring affair with the over/under line currently set at 49.5. On the other side of the ball, outside of a dud last Thursday night in Miami, Jacksonville has played pretty well on offence, dropping 30 on the Titans and 27 on an impressive Colts defensive unit.
Much of what they didn’t do last week, in the passing game, can be put down to D.J Chark’s inactivity. His ability to get downfield and spread the field opens up more opportunities for others. So, with him returning this week, I fully expect the Jaguars offense to fire again.
Chark’s return should also benefit the running game somewhat as well. After all, a one-dimensional offense is too easy to defend in the league nowadays. Now after releasing Leonard Fournette just prior to the season, many asked the question, what would the Jaguars so with their run game now? Well, it’s safe to say after only three weeks in, we know that answer as clear as day.
Undrafted rookie, James Robinson has cemented that position down as his own. Through his first three games he’s totalled an impressive 210 yards on the ground, with three touchdowns along the way. He certainty must be looking forward to facing off against the Bengals 26th ranked run defence that’s allowed five rushing touchdowns through three games so far this year.
Look for Robinson to up his total this week and take him at 10/11 to get into the endzone with SkyBet.
Seattle Seahawks @ Miami Dolphins | Sunday 4th Octobers 2020, 18:00
The second bet of the weekend comes courtesy of what looks set to be one of, if not the highest-scoring game. With a current line of 55 total points, there should be plenty of opportunities on the offensive side of the ball for both teams.
Whilst Seattle’s offensive has been probably the most explosive in the league with Russel Wilson running things, their defence has undoubtedly been one of the most suspect as well. They’ve allowed a league-high 1,292 passing yards through the first three weeks, as well as 104 completed passes. Also, a league high.
On the other side of the ball, whilst Miami hasn’t been good on defence, they’ve given up nowhere near as much yardage as Seattle. Allowing just a over half of what the Seahawks have, with 797 receiving yards given up. It’s on the offensive side of the ball where they have been more impressive so far this year.
Veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick is coming off the back of two impressive weeks, especially in Week 2 against a good defensive unit with the Buffalo Bills. He completed 31 of 47 passes, whilst throwing for 328 yards and two touchdowns.
Now 53 of those yards and one1 touchdown came via Devante Parker. The Dolphins receiver has caught five passes in back to back games to this point, whilst going 14 for 17 on passes thrown his way so far this year. Given his usage and unquestionable chemistry with Fitzpatrick, it’s hard to see him not getting a heavy usage once again this week, especially in such a favourable match-up.
Now in all probability you could target an awful lot of Miami’s offense in this match-up, I think the safest bet is Parker. Look for Miami to be behind early, and Devante to go above his line of 4.5 receptions at 5/6 with SkyBet.
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams | Sunday 4th Octobers 2020, 21:05
As usual with the final bet of the weekend, we head to the late games and this time over to LA, as the 2-1 Rams host the 0-3 Giants. I don’t think there’s too much doubt over the outcome of this game, and you’ll certainly be hard tasked to find someone out there predicting a Giants victory.
Offensively the men from New York have only totalled 38 points through the first three weeks of the season. An average of just 12.6 games per-week. That’s pretty bloody pathetic, in all honestly. They’re also coming off the back of one of their most disappointing displays in recent years, after being blown out 36-9, by what was essentially a 49ers reserve team.
On the defensive side of the ball, things certainly get a little better than the offensive side for New York, but they’re still some way off being competitive. They’ve given up 79 total points so far this season (26.3 average per game), allowing nine total touchdowns (six passing and three rushing).
Things don’t get much easier, as they now head to LA to face off against the Rams, who whilst they don’t have the most overall dominant defence, they have two of the best positional players in Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey.
It’s the Rams offense that has been more impressive to date, especially falling just short of the most remarkable of comebacks last week in Buffalo. They’re certainly not shy of putting up points, so I’m looking to exploit that in the markets this weekend.
I’m on the hunt for a bit more value than the first two tips, so I’m heading over to the Both To Score A Touchdown market for this match-up. Now there’s no one I can really count on in such an uninspiring Giants offense, so I’m taking the two Rams players who I fancy to put in productive performances. Those come in the form of running back Darrell Henderson and wide out Robert Woods.
With rookie back Cam Akers out once again this week, Henderson looks set for another heavy workload in the running back position, and Woods is such a talented wide out, he’s a consistent threat for the Rams on offense.
Henderson has two rushing touchdowns through three games, whilst Woods has one rushing himself to go along with one receiving. So given Wood’s ability to get into the endzone from both out wide and in the backfield, that makes this bet appeal that little bit more.
Look for the Rams to blow out this poor Giants outfit this weekend, and both Henderson and Woods to get into the endzone at 11/4 with SkyBet.