NFL: Bank builders for Sunday’s Week 16 action


NFL nut Kyle Brown (@Kyleianbrown) runs the rule over best bets from Sunday's Week 16 action.

BTTS Field Goal Treble | Sunday 16th December 2018, 18:00

Bit of a different bet from my usual. I’m fancying BTTS a field goal in three separate matches as a treble, with odds accumulating just around 11/10 with Sky Bet.

Bengals @ Browns BTTS field goal

Bengals: Randy Bullock has scored at least 1 field goal in 9/14 games this year (64%), scoring multiple in 4 of them. Cleveland have allowed 25 field goals this year (6th highest).

Browns: Greg Joseph has at least 1 field goal in 7/12 games (58%), scoring multiple times in 6 of them. Bengals have allowed 28 field goals this year (5th highest).

Texans @ Eagles BTTS field goal

Texans: Ka’imi Fairbairn scored in 12/14 games this year (85%), 11 of them being multiple scoring games. Texans have the most FG’s scored this year, Eagles have allowed the 2nd most throughout the season.

Eagles: Jake Elliot scored in 12/14 games this year (85%), including 2/3 of the matches where Nick Foles was QB over Carson Wentz.

Giants @ Colts BTTS field goal 1/4, Sky Bet

Giants: Aldrick Rosas scored in 12/14 games this year (85%), including 9 in a row. Colts defence have given up joint 6th highest field goals this year (25).

Colts: Adam Vinatieri scored in 11/14 games (79%), making 21/25 total attempts (84%). 3 made field goals of 50+ yards.

All three as a treble come in just over 11/10 on Sky Bet and I fancy it as a nice bank builder.

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers | Sunday 23rd December 2018, 18:00

Taylor Heinicke will be making his first career start for the Panthers in place of Cam Newton as they host the Falcons in a dead rubber game, with both teams out of contention for the playoffs.

While a bit of an unknown specimen, I have seen nothing but praise from journalists and analysts alike, with the vast majority expecting him to put on a show.

With only 5 NFL pass attempts to his name, there aren’t many stats to go by, but he had a decent enough pre-season this year, completing 24/36 passes for 323 yards, 2 TD’s and 1 INT.

With Christian McCaffrey having a fine season, and playmakers at receiver such as DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel, Heinicke will have as good a chance as any to put up some respectable numbers.

His over/under passing yard line is currently set at 210.5 on Sky Bet and I expect him to go well over. He has nothing to lose, the job is his for the final 2 games and he has no real expectation on his shoulders as Newton will be reinstated as starter when fit, regardless.

Worth noting that Atlanta allow 251 passing yards per game on average (22nd in the league) and allow 68.8% of throws to be caught, ranking them 3rd from bottom for breaking up passes.

Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers | Sunday 23rd December 2018, 21:05

Both these teams meet this Sunday off the back of big wins. Chicago took down Green Bay to avenge the loss in week 1 in the season and cement themselves as NFC North champions, whereas the 49ers battled out with the Seahawks before eventually causing an upset, beating them in overtime.

I really like the look of two anytime scorers, Tarik Cohen for the Bears and George Kittle for the 49ers, and as a double you can get 5/1 odds on Sky Bet.

While neither have been overly prolific scorers this year, they see plenty of action come their way. Kittle has 5 or more receptions in 10 of the 14 games this year, 3 100+ yard games and 4 TD’s to his name. He is SF’s most efficient and reliable target and he has connected well with Nick Mullens since he took the reins at QB.

Cohen has the added advantage of being a multi-purpose threat on offense, being just as formidable as a pass catching back as he is a running back, while also taking kick returns. He has 7 total TD’s this year, 1 every 2 games, and will be coming up against a defence that has allowed the tied 2nd most passing TD’s this year (as well as 11 passing TD’s).

Both have respectable odds individually to score anytime, but with both playing such pivotal roles in the offense I’m going to recommend the double.

Best Bets

BTTS Field Goal Treble (11/10 Sky Bet)

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers – Taylor Heinicke over 210.5 passing yards (5/6 Sky Bet)

Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49er – Both players to score a TD – Tarik Cohen and George Kittle (5/1 Sky Bet)

About Author

As a journalism student consumed by sports on a daily basis, being paid to write about them would be the dream upon graduating (assuming I don’t get scouted last minute to play for Barcelona). I’m Scottish born and proudly support the national team, as well as Chelsea and the Chicago Bears. My family are all massive Rangers fans - regardless of what division they wake up in. I’ve started using statistics and data to make selections, rather than my gut. American Football is what I specialise in, and thankfully for me, it is a massively data-driven sport. Everything from pass completion to weather forecasts are taken into account. My love for numbers comes from my interest in poker. I play regularly online and at casinos, and every decision made requires thought into percentages and odds. Although there is an element of luck, it showed me that grasping an understanding of mathematics could prove to be very profitable.

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