Liverpool vs Aston Villa | Sunday 5th July 2020, 16:30 | BT Sport
Much has been said and written about Liverpool seemingly having spent the last week partying but I don’t think they were as bad against Manchester City as both pundits – and the scoreline – suggested. They got in to plenty of dangerous areas and hit the post themselves before a couple of really poor pieces of defending meant that the game was out of sight.
I therefore think that the market has over-reacted to that defeat and cannot see why they are 1/3 to beat Aston Villa when Manchester United are 1/5 to overcome Bournemouth.
Liverpool have won all 16 home league matches this season, with 10 of these by two goals or more. They face an Aston Villa side who may have more to play for but have only managed two points – and two goals – from four Premier League games since the top flight resumed. Villa have lost 11 of their 16 matches on their travels, including 3-0 against Manchester City and 4-0 against Leicester.
I was trying to find some examples of positive away performances from Villa and the only ones I could find were away victories against Norwich and Burnley and a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford. All of these games were played at least six months ago and against sides that do not possess the quality of this Liverpool outfit.
I expect Liverpool to win this game comfortably and 10/11 on them winning this game by two goals or more is certainly big enough for me.
Liverpool vs Aston Villa – Liverpool -1.5 Asian Handicap (10/11 SkyBet)