LEICESTER take on Manchester United on Super Sunday's curtain closer from the KP. Tom Love (@TomLove_18) shares his thoughts on the Premier League encounter.
Leicester vs Manchester United | Sunday 26th July 2020, 16:00 | Sky Sports
What a huge game this is for both sides; two of the top-four spots are on the line and only two of Leicester, Manchester United and Chelsea are going to end in those places.
The Foxes looked nailed on for a Champions League spot at the halfway point of the season, but their alarming drop off has seen them slide down and it’s now out of their hands. They need to win here to guarantee a top four place, a draw would suffice for both sides if Wolves beat Chelsea.
If United avoid defeat they will be in the Champions League next season, a terrific and timely turnaround from Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side which has been supplemented by the mid-season signing of Bruno Fernandes, no doubt a big factor in their rise. They’ve not been as red hot of late though, slipping up as artificially short 1/4 favourites at home to Southampton and then going down with a whimper in the FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea.
To be fair to the Red Devils, they do boast a strong record against the better teams in the division this season but that was when they were big underdogs and could play on the break. Their style has altered slightly to be a more ball-dominant force as teams have given them a bit more respect.
I’ve not seen a team see so much money come for them when they’re on it than United, they often go off simply too short and I think that’s the case here again, especially in a game they don’t need to win.
I’m shocked United are favourites to be honest with the draw being a real runner, particularly if Wolves are leading at Stamford Bridge. Lets not forget Leicester having a very good home record with just three defeats at the King Power all season, two of which were against the top two.
The Foxes do have injuries at the back with Ben Chilwell, Ricardo Periera and Caglar Soyuncu all out and that has weakened them admittedly. But again, I go back to the point their opponents don’t need to win, a draw would suffice.
Wit that in mind I’m all over the 47/50 available with Genting on the hosts with a +0.25 start on the Asian Handicap. This would see us make money should Leicester avoid defeat here, something they’ve done in 15/18 times on home soil. We would get a full payout with a win but also make half stakes profit if the game ended in a stalemate.
Given the match scenario it’s likely to be Leicester pushing more for a goal than United and with that in mind I’ll head into the corner markets. Leicester are placed fifth in the corner table this season whereas United are seventh so even in a normal game Leicester should be favourites in the corner match bet but given the likely way this will play out it should make the Foxes artificially shorter.
Leicester are priced up at even-money with SkyBet to have the most corners in this match up and that doesn’t look a bad angle but it could wing if the hosts take the lead so I’ll try be a bit more clever and back Leicester to have Over 2 Corners in the First-Half at 20/21 on Bet365’s betbuilder. I’d expect early pressure from the hosts here whilst the game is tight.
Leicester vs Manchester United – Leicester +0.25 Asian Handicap (47/50 Gentingbet)
Leicester vs Manchester United -Leicester Over 2 First-Half Corners (20/21 Bet365)