Golf: WGC-Mexico Championship betting preview and best bets


GOLF analyst Lewis Blain (@LewisBlainSport) shares his betting thoughts ahead of the WGC-Mexico Championship.

WGC-Mexico Championship | 20th-23rd February 2020 | Sky Sports

The top 50 players in the world head to Mexico while the rest of the PGA Tour visits Puerto Rico.
I guess that's the life when you're a golfer meanwhile we suffer back-to-back storms here in England.
Anyway, on we go…

The Course

  • Club de golf Chapultepec
  • Par 71 – 7,345 yards but it's more like 6,700ish due to altitude.
  • Strategically tight but flat layout; tree-lined.

The Trends

  • Ball-strikers or short-game prowess tend to succeed.
  • SG T2G.
  • Finding the right spot off the tee.
  • Euros can do well here given comps to similar course on the ET, such as Crans.

Tommy Fleetwood (20/1 SkyBet)

This one is a simple choice given links to the European Tour and past course history.

Tommy Fleetwood has recorded three top-20s since the WGC came here, including a second place in 2017. The Englishman is a supreme ball-striker who regularly finds greens and his length makes some holes very reachable in two, sometimes even one which opens up plenty of scoring opportunities.

Fleetwood won the Nedbank before the season close back in November and has contended in every tournament since, going back-to-back runner-up at DP World Tour and Abu Dhabi before a T11 in Dubai.

He's in-form and at 20/1 (SkyBet) I am more than happy to take him from all the front-runners.

Patrick Reed (40/1 SkyBet)

High-quality winners tend to win these events – hardly a surprise given the strength of field but it's still the elite of the elite. Your 100/1+ types don't tend to come out on top regularly, for example. Therefore I will take some nice value on Masters and WGC winner Patrick Reed, even if I despise him.

Last year around here, Reed was third before the final round and was never going to contend with a 73 after that so he can make amends this time. He's consistent on POA surfaces and has a very good short game. He's also won two play-off competitions too.

40/1 (SkyBet) is a very nice price to take.

Sergio Garcia (45/1 Betfair)

Another player I am not a fan of at all, his behaviour never helps, is Sergio Garcia, but he should go well around here to give us a run for our money. His T2G and ball-striking game was on point at Riviera last week, where he was one of the last few off my list.

The Spaniard is trending upwards with each attempt around this course – T12 in 2017, T7 in 2018 and then T6 last year. He's won everywhere, including at Crans – another altitude course and obviously is another Masters champ.

Garcia has managed a handful of top-10s since his win at the KLM Open so that tells you he's in form. Maybe it's time for him to add a WGC to his trophy cabinet.

Best Bets

WGC-Mexico Championship – Tommy Fleetwood (20/1 each-way SkyBet)

WGC-Mexico Championship – Patrick Reed (40/1 each-way SkyBet)

WGC-Mexico Championship – Sergio Garcia (45/1 each-way Betfair)

About Author

I'm a graduate in BA (Hons) Sports Journalism from Solent University where I received First Class Honours. My dissertation was actually on the sports gambling sector. I currently work in the sports media industry producing an array of content whether that be written, visual or audio. My passions include golf, English football - that's from the Premier League right down to non-league football - Aldershot being my team! as well as NFL and a number of other sports. I first got into betting through friends, pretty much as soon as I was old enough to do so and in the past I have run my own paid gambling group. Sport and betting go hand-in-hand but it's important to understand that this is merely a bit of fun for me. I've learnt a hell of a lot in the industry with many mistakes made but I hope my previews, whether that be on the latest golf event or something totally different, provide you with some added value.

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