FOOTBALL LEAGUE expert Mark O'Haire (@MarkOHaire) shares his best bets from Saturday's EFL card.
Blackpool v Shrewsbury | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00
Blackpool
- Blackpool have scored in 20/22 home games this season, netting at least twice in 11 of those 22 outings.
- Blackpool have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per-game when hosting the top-10.
- Blackpool’s past eight games are averaging 2.90 Expected Goals.
- Blackpool have seen 15/22 (68%) of their home games feature Both Teams To Score winners with 14 (64%) also producing Over 2.5 Goals.
Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury have scored in 18/22 away games this season, netting at least twice in nine of those 22 outings.
- Shrewsbury have kept only five clean sheets on their travels this term.
- Shrewsbury have seen 15/22 (68%) of their away games feature Both Teams To Score winners, including five of their past seven.
Both Teams To Score (24/23 188BET)
Crawley v Crewe | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00
Crawley
- Crawley have seen their past 19 games feature at least two goals with Harry Kewell’s team scoring in all bar one match since Boxing Day.
- Crawley have only kept four clean sheets since October, as well as only six in 22 matches on home soil this season.
- Crawley have seen 15/19 games in 2018 produce winning Over 2.5 Goals selections – those matches have averaged 3.47 goals per-game.
Crewe
- Crewe have scored in 18 of their past 21 matches since Boxing Day, 14 of which featured both sides scoring.
- Crewe have only kept three clean sheets on their travels this season, conceding at least three goals on nine occasions.
- Crewe have seen their past 16 games average 2.84 Expected Goals per-game.
- Crewe have seen 10 of their last 11 outings produce winning Over 2.5 Goals selections – those matches have averaged 3.73 goals per-game.
Over 2.5 Goals (4/5 Marathon)
Stevenage v Exeter | Saturday 28th April 2018, 15:00
Stevenage
- Stevenage have scored in 17/22 home games but only managed to keep three clean sheets, leading to 16/22 (73%) Both Teams To Score winners.
- Stevenage have scored in six of their seven home games against the top-eight.
- Stevenage have kept only five clean sheets since September.
- Stevenage’s past 14 fixtures have averaged 3.07 goals per-game.
Exeter
- Exeter have scored in 18/22 away games but only managed to keep four clean sheets, leading to 15/22 (68%) Both Teams To Score winners.
- Exeter have scored in 23 of their past 26 matches and in 20 of 23 games against bottom-half teams.
- Exeter have seen 14 of their 23 games against bottom-half teams feature both sides scoring, including eight of 11 away.
- Exeter’s last nine games have averaged 3.33 goals per-game.
Best Bets
Blackpool v Shrewsbury – Both Teams To Score (24/23 188BET)
Crawley v Crewe – Over 2.5 Goals (4/5 Marathon)
Stevenage v Exeter – Both Teams To Score (8/11 Bet365)
