This looks like a meeting of two sides going in different directions. While Everton have had two impressive victories in a row, keeping clean sheets in wins over Chelsea and Leicester, Arsenal have failed to win in their last six matches and have only scored two goals in the process.
The Gunners have lost at home to Aston Villa, Wolves and Burnley in that sequence so Everton should have plenty of confidence that they can overcome this Arsenal side at Goodison.
Mikel Arteta's side will feel that they were unfortunate to lose to Burnley last weekend but there aren't too many other hard luck stories in their recent run. The Gunners are 15th in the league, with the expected goals table suggesting they should be 14th. On Saturday evening they face an Everton side who are nine points and 10 places above them and I am amazed that the Toffees are available at 6/4.
Everton have beaten Chelsea, Tottenham and Leicester this term and also recorded a draw with Liverpool. They did have a rough patch at the end of October but that coincided with Richarlison being out suspended. The Brazilian is now very much back and I expect him and Dominic Calvert-Lewin to cause this makeshift Arsenal backline plenty of problems.
I am confident Everton will finish well above Arsenal this term and you rarely get 6/4 on a home side to win against inferior opposition, which makes the odds William Hill are offering very appealing.
I did consider 1-0 and 2-0 home scorelines but actually prefer the look of Calvert-Lewin in the anytime goalscorer market at 8/5 with Bet365 The Everton marksman has scored in eight of his 13 league matches this term and I expect him to make light with of an Arsenal defence missing the services of Gabriel.