THREE winning European NAPs from four, Mark O'Haire's (@MarkOHaire) heading to sunny Spain on Sunday for his next best bet from the continent.
Deportivo La Coruna v Granada | Sunday 17.15 | Sky Sports 2
Draw specialists Deportivo are still searching for their first victory since Christmas (W0-D6-L3) but should get a fantastic chance to record maximum points when rock-bottom Granada pitch up at the Riazor on Sunday.
Following four successive losses, Jose Ramon Sandoval was axed as the visitors’ boss with former Albacete and Cadiz manager José González taking his place.
González’s first task will be to arrest their horrendous record on the road – El Grana have lost five on the spin as La Liga guests and haven't kept a clean sheet on their travels all season. Talking of the defence, they’ve shipped at least two goals in six of their most recent seven starts.
Granada’s task this weekend is made even harder by the absence of defensive midfielder Ruben Perez. Without him, El Grana have W1-D3-L9 since the start of last season, leaking 2.77 goals-per-game with 10/13 featuring Over 2.5 Goals and seven even breaking the three-goal barrier.
It’s not all bad news though. Adalberto Penaranda and Youssef El-Arabi are a potential handful for any defence and the lowly visitors have at least notched in seven of their last 10 outside of their Andalusian home – only runaway leaders Barcelona, obdurate Villarreal and in-form Real Sociedad have stopped them scoring.
Depor should have record-breaking Lucas Perez back to spearhead the attack but with centre-half Sidnei sidelined through injury, keeping their sheets clean for the first time in 12 might be too tall a task for Victor Sanchez’s side on Sunday.
Depor have been beaten just once when welcoming top-half teams and scored in all of their 11 matches at the Riazor – both teams have netted in seven of their last nine as hosts and four of their five when taking on bottom-half dwellers have featured four or more goals.
With that in mind, backing Both Teams To Score at 42/41 with 888 stands out. It’s proven a successful strategy in 32/50 (64%) of the two teams’ La Liga matches this term, as well as in 16/25 (64%) when viewing the duos respective home/away games.
Taking the 64% figure and turning it into implied odds would give us a 4/7chance. So the 42/41 on offer is a big value bet and topped up by the trend that’s seen 16 of Granada’s last 20 away fixtures feature Over 2.5 Goals.
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Deportivo La Coruna v Granada – Both Teams To Score (42/41 888)
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