MARK O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) shares his best bet from the continental scene this weekend with La Liga his focus on Sunday.
Granada v Athletic Bilbao | Sunday 17.15 | Sky Sports 5
With just four games to play last season and sitting six points adrift of safety, Granada decided to roll the dice one last time. Abel Resino was sacked and Jose Sandoval became El Grana’s fourth boss of the 2014/15 campaign.
The change did the trick with Sandoval’s 10-point return enough to keep Granada’s La Liga status intact for another season. Naturally, the great escape was greeted with incredulity, as the Andalusians fate appeared doomed heading into May.
However, joy and optimism heading into the 2015/16 campaign has duly dissipated as El Grana have slipped back into their rotten old ways. Eleven games into the new season and Granada sit one place off the bottom of Spain’s top tier (W1-D4-L6) on goal difference.
Sandoval’s side are winless since August and have yet to keep a clean sheet in 11 attempts. But Granada have managed to find the back of the net in each of their last five and in eight of their 11 La Liga contests already this season. At their Nuevo Los Carmenes home, all bar one of their five fixtures have featured both teams scoring.
Athletic Bilbao make the journey south on Sunday and the Basques can ensure that impressive record stays strong. Les Leones have notched at least twice in each of their past five league outings, failing to strike just once since August in La Liga football.
Include all competitions and Ernesto Valverde’s troops have bagged six wins from seven and whilst they look the most likely victors, I’m happier to take a goals-angle in Andalusia this weekend with Both Teams To Score quoted at 22/23 with Unibet – a big value price.
I’ve already outlined Granada’s strong trends for BTTS winners this term and Athletic have followed suit in 8/11 (73%) of La Liga contests (3/5 away), as well as 10 of their previous 13 games in all competitions.
The 2015/16 trends suggest we’ve around about a 70% chance of Both Teams To Score landing again on Sunday evening – that equates to around a 4/9 chance in betting terms – meaning Unibet’s value 22/23 price should be snapped up.
Granada v Athletic Bilbao – Both Teams To Score (22/23 Unibet)
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