WE'VE joined forced with renowned punter James Cantrill (@JimmyThePunt) to set-up and share our Colossus Premier League Predictor selections ahead of Super Sunday's Premier League highlight between Tottenham and Manchester United.
What will the Correct Score be?
This campaign, the clashes between the big boys have not lived up to the hype with just under 60% of the 27 bouts between the Big Six teams featuring two or fewer goals.
That being said, the reverse of this match-up certainly broke the mould as Jose Mourinho’s men ran riot at Old Trafford, winning 6-1. Since then, Spurs have continued to break the mould when it comes to these big fixtures as their nine games have averaged 2.60 goals with five seeing three or more.
In stark contrast, every single one of the Red Devils seven games vs the Big Six since have seen fewer than three goals, five of which have ended goalless!
Odds-wise the bookies marginally favour the visitors to win on Sunday. At odds of 29/20, United's implied probability of victory is 41% and with the Red Devils' record on the road it is hard to look past Ole Gunnar Solskjær men getting a result.
Man Utd have only lost three of their 24 away games this campaign. Therefore, I am going to cover the 0-0 draw and a 1-0 away victory.
Selection: 0-0, 0-1
Will a penalty be taken?
It seems cliche but when Manchester United are involved, you cannot rule out a penalty. No side have been awarded more spot kicks than the visitors since the start of last campaign (23). It is also worth noting that the last three head-to-heads between these sides have thrown up four spot kicks.
That being said, Chris Kavanagh has the whistle here and he has awarded an average of 0.19 per-game, the third-worst average of any Premier League referee this season. Therefore, I am going to cover both possibilities.
Selection: Yes, No
Will a player be sent off?
Kavanagh is yet to brandish a red card in the top-flight this season. This, combined with the fact that only one of the games he oversaw last season saw one, makes it pretty hard to see one being awarded here.
Will a goal be scored in the 1st half?
Seven of Spurs’ nine games vs the Big Six have seen a first half goal. However, since the 6-1 between these sides in the reverse fixture, only one of the 10 goals Man Utd have conceded against the Big Six have come before the interval.
Given these contrasting records, I am going to cover both possibilities.
Selection: Yes, No
How many corners will be taken by the home team?
Jose Mourinho’s tactics come the big games is no secret; he looks to contain and counter and this usually means Spurs do not rack up many corner kicks. In their nine fixtures against the big hitters, Tottenham have averaged 2.44 flag kicks as they have accumulated between zero and four, which is what I am going to cover.
Selections: 0-2. 3-4
How many corners will be taken by the away team?
Ole Gunnar Solskjær successfully adopted a similar approach come the big games away. Perhaps this is best illustrated by the fact that Man Utd have averaged 5.25 corners in their home games against the Big Six and just 4.00 in their away games.
I expect United to be consistently cautious in North London this weekend which should see them hit a similar tally.
Selection: 0-2, 3-4
How many cards will be shown to the home team?
These sides last six head-to-heads have seen an average of 2.33 cards, and given the refereeing appointment, we could see equally few once more.
In the nine games against the Big Six this term, Spurs have accumulated 18 cards, receiving one or two in 78% of those clashes. Therefore, I am going to go with the averages.
How many cards will be shown to the away team?
Despite the fact Man Utd have averaged 1.7 cards this campaign, only two of their meetings with the Big Six have seen fewer than two cards. However, with such a card-shy referee in charge, I am going to air on the side of caution.
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