WE'VE joined forced with renowned punter James Cantrill (@JimmyThePunt) to set-up and share our Colossus Premier League Predictor selections ahead of Sunday's Premier League highlight between Arsenal and Tottenham.
What will the Correct Score be?
The bookies are struggling to split these, as am I, with the hosts priced around 31/20 and Spurs at 7/4. In terms of probability, both sides actually win less games when priced accordingly with the Gunners victorious in 37% and Tottenham only winning 19%.
In terms of their recent meetings, Jose Mourinho has bested Mikel Arteta in the supremo’s two bouts at their current clubs. In the most recent game, Tottenham won in typical Mourinho fashion scoring twice from just three shots on target.
I think Spurs and Mourinho will make it three for three here as well. Spurs have a huge advantage here as they played in London on Thursday night in the UEL, Arsenal, on the other hand, had to travel back from Greece, giving them less time to prepare.
Selection: 0-1, 1-2
Will a penalty be taken?
In the sides last five head-to-heads in the EPL there has been four penalties awarded in three of the fixtures.
With Micheal Oliver in charge you do not want to be opposing penalties here as he has averaged 0.71 per game in the EPL this campaign.
Therefore, I am covering both outcomes here.
Selection: Yes, No
Will a player be sent off?
Under the current managers reigns, neither of the two meetings have seen a red card and the referee has only awarded two in 21 EPL games this season.
That being said, Arsenal received the most red cards in the English top division (five) and there has been one in two of the last five North London Derby’s.
Therefore, once again I am going to edge my bets here and cover both outcomes.
Selection: Yes, No
Will a goal be scored in the 1st half?
There has been a total of 17 goals the last five times these sides have locked horns in the EPL, 53% have come before the interval with a first half goal being scored in all five of the games!
With Jose Mourinho expected to field three strikers – Kane, Bale and Son- combined with the fact that Arteta has not managed to solve The Gunners defensive woes, I think Sunday’s game will follow suit.
How many corners will be taken by the home team?
In their clashes against the top six, Arsenal have averaged 4.8 corners. They accumulated nine in the reverse of this fixture but in their most recent big six clash against Man CIty they only managed one.
The amount they hit on Sunday hinders on game state and how Mourinho sets his stall out. With Spurs expected to contain and counter, I expect the hosts to hit somewhere in the region of three to six corners, as they have done in 72% of their big six bouts.
Selection: 3-5, 5-6
How many corners will be taken by the away team?
In Spurs’ away games at Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea they have averaged just 6.7 shots and if you don’t shoot you don’t get many corners, which is evident as they have averaged just three in those fixtures.
For this clash, I am going to cover zero to four.
Selection: 0-2, 3-4
How many cards will be shown to the home team?
Arsenal have averaged 1.6 cards per domestic game this campaign. The last five head-to-heads have yielded between two and three for Sunday’s hosts.
In their seven games against fellow big six teams they have averaged 1.8 cards per game.
How many cards will be shown to the away team?
Spurs have received 18 cards in the last five North London derbies in the league, only receiving fewer than three on one occasion!
In their three away games against three of the big six they have averaged two cards as they picked up one vs Man City, three vs Liverpool and two vs Chelsea.
I think Jose will have them riled up for this one so am going to cover two and three here.
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