Bundesliga Best Bets: Fortuna fancied on final matchday


BUNDESLIGA fanatic Jonny O'Sullivan (@libero_the) oversees the best bets from the last round of regular season action in Germany's top-flight.

It is the final matchday of the Bundesliga and it has been an entertaining season. A league which has created a blueprint for all other nations to continue with the sport we love due to its organisation and innovative thinking.

With Bayern Munich's highs and lows, doors were opened but never entered by the chasing pack behind them. However, ultimately, the Bavarians under Hansi Flick were just far too strong.

Champions League spots are still there to be won, however. Dortmund have second spot boxed off, while RB Leipzig are practically safe unless there is a 17-goal swing on the final day. This means that Leverkusen who sit fifth on 60 points and Monchengladbach who sit in fourth on 62 points will battle it out for the final Champions League berth.

With Gladbach having a nine-goal advantage, it looks like Leverkusen fans will need to become Hertha Berlin fans on the final day.

Werder Bremen and Fortuna Dusseldorf find themselves in a desperate position attempting to escape the automatic relegation spots. The fight for a second chance would be like winning the lottery for both clubs, who both face tricky teams.

Dusseldorf travel to Union Berlin whilst Werder Bremen host a relieved Koln, who have managed to scrape together enough points post COVID-19 break to allow themselves to not have a relegation-care in the world.

Augsburg vs RB Leipzig | Saturday 27th June 2020, 14:30 | BT Sport

One of the most surprising statistics since the restart has been that Leipzig have failed to win at home. Luckily for them, Leverkusen and Gladbach have also lacked consistency and they are playing their last match of the season away. A trip to Augsburg is on the cards and RB will be looking to end their season on a high.

While Leipzig have been poor on home turf, on their travels the visitors have been flawless. They have picked up maximum points and have scored 11 goals in their last three away matches. Julian Nagelsmann’s men have lost only four matches this season and will be reasonably happy with how their 2019/20 season has panned out.

With the Bundesliga proving that home advantage has been non-existent, both the two sides on display are perhaps the biggest displays of this new post-pandemic trend. With all three of their matches being won by two or more goals, Leipzig's pace on the break has never been put to greater use.

Augsburg have failed to win any of their last six matches at home and do not look like a team who will hurt the third-best team in the country. With absolutely nothing to play for, the hosts may have signed off for the season, particularly with no pressure from an expectant home fan base.

Timo Werner is leaving for Chelsea in the summer and his last game in a Leipzig shirt will no doubt be emotional for the striker. Twenty-six goals in a 34-match season is superb and should not be overlooked. It would be a surprise if the flying German did not add to his already impressive tally in a comfortable away win.

Leipzig -1 handicap (1/1 Coral)

Union Berlin vs Fortuna Dusseldorf | Saturday 27th June 2020, 14:30 | BT Sport

Dusseldorf's recent chance has been a lifeline for the club who were not expected to do much this season. With only two losses in their last 11 matches, Fortuna head into their match knowing that a win would offer them a second bite of the cherry in a relegation play-off.

The two Dusseldorf losses came against Dortmund and Bayern, which shows that against teams around them, Uwe Rosler’s troops are an extremely stubborn outfit.

Union Berlin were turned over 4-0 against Hoffenheim last weekend and looked low on motivation. The side from the capital who have had such a good season looked to have checked out for the season, registering only two shots on-target. They are facing a side who have everything to play for, which may not be a successful combination.

Fortuna draw too many matches. They may be difficult to beat but often find it hard to grab all three points. Twelve of their 33 games have ended all-square and recently they have drawn nine out their last 14 fixtures.

Union’s performance last week is the main reason why I believe Fortuna will get the required W here. Everything is on the line for the away side and absolutely nothing is for the capital club. Their first season in the Bundesliga has been a huge success and their players may feel they have done their bit. This is certainly not the case for Fortuna

The away win is 11/10 (BetVictor).

Best Bets

Augsburg vs RB Leipzig – RB Leipzig -1 handicap (1/1 Coral)

Union Berlin vs Fortuna Dusseldorf – Fortuna Dusseldorf to win (11/10 BetVictor)

About Author

Bio: I have been betting since I could as the thrill of winning an 18-fold £1 accumulator always excited me. My love of European football, particularly Italian and German, has lead me to go down a path of finding value within these leagues which I believe that many betting companies may miss. I am also a long-suffering Everton fan, having had a season ticket since I was four. Football has always meant a lot to me, which is probably why my life peaked when I scored two goals in a 3-2 win at the age of 15 against Liverpool's academy. Life has been on a downward trajectory since that memorable moment!

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