GAVIN Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) returns for the weekend action with a smart view on a Sunday Serie A game.
Torino v Atalanta | Sunday 11:30 | BT Sport 1
High flying Atalanta visit Turin to take on a Torino outfit who need a victory if they are to push for a European qualification place.
There have been four red cards in the past six meetings between these two clubs and there is promise of more cards on Sunday morning. The average number of cards over the past six meetings is 7.8 per game. That average increases to eight per game when the match is played in Turin.
Antonio Damato gets the whistle for this one. In truth, he is a mixed bag with Serie A cards shown of 6-2-6-6-3-2-10-10-3. That is an average of 5.3 per game.
Damato covered Torino's opening day match against AC Milan and gave six cards that day. He has also covered Atalanta once this season. That was a drab 0-0 affair at Fiorentina in October. Despite the boring scoreline he still managed to show six yellow cards.
This term Torino average 2.52 cards per game. Atalanta are historically one of Italy's dirtiest sides but this season have shown more discipline than normal. They average 2.42 cards per game this season.
The head to head encounters between these two clubs are intriguing. The past six have seen cards issued of 8-8-3-12-5-11. I fancy more this time and am backing over 55pts with William Hill at even money.
Torino v Atalanta – Over 55 Bookings Points (Evens William Hill)